NSW R_eff as of January 7th with daily cases and restrictions. Latest estimate: R_eff = 1.76 ± 0.08
Plus SIR model projection.
Cases shown on a linear scale (log scale in next tweet).
More info chrisbillington.net/COVID_NSW.html
#covid19nsw #covidsydney
NSW R_eff as of January 7th with daily cases and restrictions. Latest estimate: R_eff = 1.76 ± 0.08
Plus SIR model projection.
(Cases shown on a log scale)
More info chrisbillington.net/COVID_NSW.html
#covid19nsw #covidsydney
R_eff in Greater Sydney vs rest of New South Wales:
Greater Sydney: R_eff = 1.80 ± 0.09
NSW excluding Greater Sydney: R_eff = 2.02 ± 0.13
(Cases shown on a log scale)
(note region-specific data is several days old, does not include today's cases)
#covid19nsw #covidsydney
R_eff in LGAs of concern* vs the rest of NSW (*all of Penrith included):
LGAs of concern: R_eff = 2.00 ± 0.09
Rest of NSW: R_eff = 1.78 ± 0.10
(Cases shown on a log scale)
(note LGA data is several days old, does not include today's cases)
#covid19nsw #covidsydney
The Hunter region: R_eff = 1.82 ± 0.20
Illawarra region: R_eff = 2.47 ± 0.25
Western New South Wales: R_eff = 2.74 ± 0.45
(Cases shown on a log scale)
(note region-specific data is several days old, does not include today's cases)
#covid19nsw #covidsydney
Cases in NSW if the current trend continues:
day cases 68% range
Sat: 39616 36400—42891
Sun: 42295 38653—46009
Mon: 44628 40552—48689
Tue: 46409 42046—50805
Wed: 47639 43051—52281
Thu: 48209 43493—52928
Fri: 48111 43385—52812
Doubling time is 6.1 days.
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