NSW R_eff as of January 9th with daily cases and restrictions. Latest estimate: R_eff = 1.41 ± 0.08
Plus SIR model projection.
Cases shown on a linear scale (log scale in next tweet).
More info chrisbillington.net/COVID_NSW.html
#covid19nsw #covidsydney
NSW R_eff as of January 9th with daily cases and restrictions. Latest estimate: R_eff = 1.41 ± 0.08
Plus SIR model projection.
(Cases shown on a log scale)
More info chrisbillington.net/COVID_NSW.html
#covid19nsw #covidsydney
R_eff in Greater Sydney vs rest of New South Wales:
Greater Sydney: R_eff = 1.85 ± 0.09
NSW excluding Greater Sydney: R_eff = 2.32 ± 0.16
(Cases shown on a log scale)
(note region-specific data is several days old, does not include today's cases)
#covid19nsw #covidsydney
R_eff in LGAs of concern* vs the rest of NSW (*all of Penrith included):
LGAs of concern: R_eff = 1.99 ± 0.08
Rest of NSW: R_eff = 1.95 ± 0.11
(Cases shown on a log scale)
(note LGA data is several days old, does not include today's cases)
#covid19nsw #covidsydney
The Hunter region: R_eff = 2.21 ± 0.26
Illawarra region: R_eff = 2.80 ± 0.27
Western New South Wales: R_eff = 3.66 ± 0.56
(Cases shown on a log scale)
(note region-specific data is several days old, does not include today's cases)
#covid19nsw #covidsydney
Cases in NSW if the current trend continues:
day cases 68% range
Mon: 39655 35691—43704
Tue: 40567 36265—45004
Wed: 41081 36474—45801
Thu: 41154 36352—46103
Fri: 40786 35880—45834
Sat: 39981 35052—45023
Sun: 38800 33922—43736
Doubling time is 10.1 days.
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