Eric Finnigan Profile picture
Charts & data on housing, demographics, remodeling, & resi. building products. VP, Building Products Research & Demographics, @JBREC

Feb 2, 2022, 8 tweets

Where is pricing power strongest in the residential remodeling space? Where is it weakest? A thread:
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That's one of the biggest questions this year, as consumers stare down the highest inflation in four decades. 2/

Our latest research shows that BIG PROJECT REMODELS ARE LESS SENSITIVE TO RISING PRICES than small projects. 3/

In other words, consumers planning large remodels (like a major kitchen/bath update) say they are *MORE WILLING* to swallow price increases than those planning small projects (like repainting their home office).

Counterintuitive? Not necessarily... 4/

Why might this be? My humble take:

1) With the worst buying conditions in a generation and extremely limited opportunities to trade-up into newer, higher quality homes/locations, homeowners are hunkering down and planning to stay for longer

5/

2) The average homeowner is sitting on $53K of fresh equity in their house since the pandemic (and they're starting to tap it -- the next wave cash-out refis are just getting started, likely passing $100b per qtr in '21.)

6/

3) Large remodels are "must haves" and more likely to be undertaken by high income/wealthy households who can handle higher prices

7/

With prices up double-digits for almost every product category, this is worth keeping a close eye on...

(end thread)

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