This is a massive safety signal for infertility. Germany's FIRST report of birth rates since the rollout.
Remember that the birth rate data is 9 months too late.
If the next quarter is worse, this is Children of Men scenario.
For the years 2011-2021 the average number of births is 63,911 for the Jan-Mar quarter, with a standard deviation of 1015
The drop to 54871 for 2022 is approx 9 SD.
9 Sigma. Unicorn events.
The money people understand this.
@chrismartenson
seekingalpha.com/instablog/5172…
For a 9 sigma drop in birth rates to have happened in Jan-Mar 2022, something dramatic had to have happened to stop pregnancies occurring in March to June 2021.
I wonder what that could be?
Were couples depressed? Looking to move house? Too busy?
duckduckgo.com/?q=fertility+n…
In general birth rates are surprisingly stable year-to-year with long term cycles. There are seasonal peaks and troughs which are pretty reliable. Every midwife knows.
But this is well outside normal.
Big red arrow time.
In the Children of Men, the midwives were the first to notice. The phone stopped ringing. But it only affected humans.
Nobody listened to the midwives. In today's equivalent we are not allowed to speak. Not allowed to raise concerns.
btchflcks.com/2013/04/the-pl…
And it's not just Germany. This is an 8% drop even before March 2022 figures are released int he @UKHSA vaccine surveillance reports.
And yeah, you can say "but it's only 2 months" - so let's see the latest data. The UKHSA has it.
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
Not just UK, not just Germany.
North Dakota provisional data showing another drop of 11% for Feb-April.
Unprecedented for a state that has a stable birth rate with SD<5% of mean
h/t @ichudov
health.nd.gov/vital/vr-publi…
It definitely has nothing to do with the the fact, that, rather than staying at the site of injection as promised, their own data showed that the LNPs not only distributed to the ovaries and testes but accumulated.
What could possibly go wrong?
[tga.gov.au/sites/default/…]
I dunno. Probably just a blip. Coincidence. What do I know, I'm just a mouse.
@1979pop
dailymotion.com/video/xqrq5f
[Source for Official German data: www-genesis.destatis.de/genesis/online…]
Netherlands.... Same pattern
More direct source for the data for those asking.
Hold up folks!
I must give credit to @mkeulemans for pointing out an error in my chart.
I have had to recreate it as the first years' data incorrect.
Here is the corrected chart.
I should have spotted this because the stability of the data was too pronounced. But remember that there was a significant influx of migration to Germany in those years 2011-2015, so we need to look at the stable years 2016-2021 and compare.
Errors bars are SD (2016-21)
The average monthly birth figure
for Q1 2016 - 2021 is 61873.
The SD is 678.
The Q1 2022 the figure is 54871.
The drop is 7002.
That is 10.3 sigma.
It's worse.
So, apologies for not triple checking my data and thanks again to eagle eyed critics for the correction.
I'd like to say that it changes the rest of the thread, and that there is no problem here - but it doesn't and there is.
I was looking for this so thank you @NicolienvGelder data showing how the younger population expanded in Germany from 2011- 2015.
Hence why you can't use those years reliably in calculating SD for this purpose (unless you wanted to hide something)
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