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Jul 14, 2022, 21 tweets

My daily update #ukrdailyupdate

The operation is paused, mostly.

If you would like to view the map: google.com/maps/d/u/0/edi…

I have very little news today. The Kharkiv area: Lots of artillery fire. Ukraine used artillery combined with helicopters to attack Kozacha Lopan, Tsupivka, and Velyki Prokhody. Russians tried to attack Dementiivka and were repelled (1).

Russians claim they destroyed a Ukrainian recon element that pushed out of Dementiivka (2). They claim to have killed 5 and captured 10.

The mystery Ivanivka: There are *so many* Ivanivkas. Today, there were reports that Russia shelled an Ivanivka and that Ukraine repelled an attack that came from the direction of an Ivanivka. I assumed it was the southern Ivanivka on this map (3).

Then, later in the day, I got confirmation from a Russian source that the more northern Ivanivka (blue arrow) was heavily shelled by Ukrainian forces (which would make sense if Russia was attacking from there).

Note that this northern Ivanivka has the "fortified town" marker. This is a built up base the Russians have been using for a while now. Also note that there are Ukrainian forces just west (Mospanove and Yavirske) that appear to have been static for weeks now. They aren't static.

If I piece together the information from Russian sources and Ukrainian sources, it makes me wonder if Ukraine is getting close to attacking this northern Ivanivka? As opposed to the more southern one? Or perhaps both?! Why are there so many Ivanivkas?!

Oh, before I move on, I want to note that Russia confirmed that Ukraine shelled these two towns and also said "among others".

The Izyum area is more or less unchanged from recent days. I saw no comments on the Russian offensive actions out of Mazanivka and towards Krasnopillya or Bohorodychne today, but I assume they proceeded as per usual: lots of casualties and no success.

Which is what happened when they attacked Dolyna (4). Note that Ukrainian artillery is pounding Brazhkivka and Sulyhivka (5). Also note that I think Ukraine may have captured Dibrovne but I cannot find confirmation.

The Siversk area: Skirmishing along the whole line, Russians are trying to attack towards Ivano-Darivka but they cannot break through the defenses on the outskirts of Spirne (5). Russia tried to attack Yakolivka but were hammered by artillery and ran away (6).

The Bakhmut area: Russia made a half hearted recon by combat attempt towards Pokrovske but were scattered (7). Russia is trying to attack towards Vesela Dolyna (8) and Vershyna (9) but the attacks were destroyed by Ukrainian artillery.

New York/Horlivka area: Lots of artillery and skirmishes along the line.

The Donetsk area: Both Russian and Ukrainian artillery is focusing on attacking and destroying the supply lines. Ukraine is attacking the warehouses and ammo stores inside Donetsk, Russia is attacking the towns and roads that supply the Ukrainian forces.

The Hulyaipole, Velyka Novosilka, and Vuhledar line: Note that Ukraine is firing artillery into Mykilske (east of Vuhledar). Ukraine tried to attack towards Novoukrainske from Olhivske, but the attack was stopped by concentrated artillery fire (10).

The Orikhiv/Kamyanske line: Lots of artillery and air strikes along the Ukrainian defensive line. Ukraine opened up and hit Vasylivka hard with artillery.

Yesterday, Ukraine destroyed the Russian base at Myrne, just north of Melitopol. By the way, that munitions in that stockpile took over 5 hours to finish burning and exploding. After that attack, Russia pulled their forces down to Okhrimivka (11) and Kyrylivka (12)

There are rumors that up to 60 Russian soldiers deserted in the Zaporizhzhia area and the FSB sent out people to search for them. This isn't the first time Russians have attempted to desert in this area, and if my tally in my notebook is right I think we might be up to ~500.

The area between Kryvyi Rih and Kherson: I have no news from this area, but one observation: Notice that the Russians claim to have been hit by artillery in Novooleksandrivka, but not Myhailivka or Zolota Balka. Perhaps my map is right, and this is their northern most point?

The Kherson area: lots of artillery.

All in all, today was a slow news day.

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