Thread by @AndrewPerpetua

My daily update! #ukrdailyupdate

Here is a link to the map! google.com/maps/d/u/0/edi…

The Kharkiv area: Russia shelled Kharkiv, killing a 13 year old boy, wounding his 15 year old sister, and killing a couple in their 60s who were waiting for public transport.

Russia tried to advance through Pytomnyk, which is a bit of a sprawling town, but they were repelled (1)

The Slovyansk area: Russia made their normal daily attacks into Krasnopillya (2), Dolyna (3), and Bohorodychne (4), and all were repelled.

The Siversk area: Mapping this area is difficult. There are a lot of attacks going on from both Russian and Ukrainian forces (I have decided not to map many of the Ukrainian attacks out of an abundance of caution). For this reason, I have made much of the region a gray area.

Similarly, I am not sure where exactly some of the Russian attacks are coming from. For example, the attack on Hryhorivka, are the Russians moving along the river, or more inland? Does Ukraine control the river area? I am not sure.

I have read that Russia controls the area along the river, which is how I have mapped it. I have seen a lot of evidence that Ukraine controls the southern part of Bilohorivka, which I have left as a gray area on the map.

There have been attacks towards Serebryanka, which obviously have to pass through the gray area somewhere, and also attacks towards Verkhnokamyanske. On top of all of this, Ukraine claims there are two towns in Luhansk oblast that Russia has failed to capture.

We know Bilohorivka is one, but which is the other? There are two options: Zolotarivka and Verkhnokamyanka. I have seen evidence of Ukrainian forces in Zolotarivka, so I have decided to map this town as contested. It could be the other, or maybe neither are contested.

Russians have not yet captured Bilohorivka, and they are heavily shelling the area with Grad MLRS and s300 anti-aircraft missiles (A). Russians tried to attack Hryhorivka, but they were repelled (5). There is ongoing fighting in Verkhnokamyanske (6).

There are rumors that Russia captured Ivano-Darivka (7), but I have seen no evidence to support it. I believe fighting is ongoing. Similarly, there are rumors that Russia has pushed through Spirne (8), but I have also seen contrary evidence that their attacks are being stifled.

Ukrainian forces have abandoned Berestove after roughly 59 days of fighting (9). After a while every single structure is destroyed and you run out of things to defend, at which point Ukraine decides to pull back to another town where the process starts anew.

However, Russia still has not been able to capture the Berestove (10) due to liberal application of Ukrainian artillery.

The Bakhmut area: There is ongoing fighting in the outskirts of Soledar (11).

There is heavy ongoing fighting around Pokrovske (12,13), and some of the lesser Russian sources are claiming the town is captured, although the better sources have not made any such claim.

Similarly, Russia is pushing very hard to attack Vesela Dolyna (14) and Vershyna (15). And the lesser Russian sources claim they have been captured. I have not seen evidence that Russia has even reached the towns yet and I believe they are still fighting in the outskirts.

Russia very much wants to capture these three towns so they can begin attacking Bakhmut. Russia’s goal is to push Ukraine back to their Slovyansk/Kramatorsk/Kostyantynivka defensive line as fast as possible. Every day that passes, Ukraine gets stronger and Russia gets weaker.

There is ongoing fighting around the Vuhlehirske power plant (16) and Novoluhanske (17) and while these positions are holding off for the moment, you could see them collapse in the near future due to what is going on north of them.

The New York/Avdiivka area: Russia isn’t having much luck attacking Kamyanka, so they decided to try a recon mission 2-3km north near Novoselivka Druha, but the recon failed and they were repulsed (18).

South of Donetsk: Russia tried to attack towards Novomykhailivka again today, and they were repelled (19).

Yesterday I read that Ukraine had attacked out of Vuhledar towards Mykilske (20), but that the attack was destroyed.

I could not find confirmation, and I found it unlikely such an attack would be destroyed so I didn’t mention it. Today there is a report that Russia tried to attack Mykilske but were repelled (21). Perhaps Ukraine captured Mykilske. I will leave it marked as contested for now.

The Kherson area: Russia seems convinced that Ukraine will attempt an attack from Murakhivka (the giant blue arrow). Ukraine is heavily shelling the Russian positions in this general area, and Russia is returning the favor, including air strikes on Murakhivka itself.

Ukraine shelled the Antonovskiy Bridge again today. There is debate over the weapon being used, whether it is HIMARS or the gps guided Excalibur artillery shells. Either way, the bridge is badly damaged and it is either impassable or close to being so.

These are all the major news items for the day. There were a few HIMARS attacks, like this one.

I hope I didn't forget any images or whatever this time.