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Sep 22, 2022, 15 tweets

Update 🧵September 22nd.
Visit the interactive map for more details and explanations.

Todays presentation is brought to you by Fraggelrov, the typical Lada shareholder, brothers morale is high.

Interactive map: scribblemaps.com/maps/view/Oper…

Yesterdays thread

General Staff Ukraine reported 88 shelling locations today. There was one I could not locate.

FIRMS Data: 2022-09-22_19:33
Added 21 locations to kml
Filtered 8 locations by proximity to other fires
Removed 69 false positives

Kharkiv
RuAF attacked in the area of Kup'yans'k, I assume these attacks are attempts to push AFU back across the river. The AFU defended their positions.

Lyman
I added Krymky and Oleksandrivka to liberated territory. This is a gamble, but based on reports, i believe this is likely.
Ru sources report the AFU are trying to attack Lyman from two directions, they also report UA forces were near Ridkodub.

Furthermore they report "the situation in Lyman is extremely difficult"

The reported shellings in the are NW of Lyman confirms AFU presence in the area.

I would keep an eye on this area. No shellings were reported close to the Bilohorivka area, which is unusual.

Bakhmut-Donetsk
Except for 1 attack in the north, this is what the Russians could manage today. The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Zaitseve, Ozarianivka, Odradivka and Novomykhailivka

In Kherson the Russians managed to build another temporary bridge over the Nova Kakhovka dam.

Russian conscripts will most likely be mobilized after their service period ends and be sent to Ukraine.

They are not ruling out using conscripts to fight on what is internationally recognized as Ukrainian territory.
46tv.ru/odnoj-strokoj/…

In the coming months, the 127000 Russians drafted for military service last October-December will be done with their conscription, they can then instantly mobilized and sent to Ukraine.

ISW wrote a bit about the Russian conscription in March
understandingwar.org/backgrounder/e…

RU units in Lyman might soon be out of artillery support, the magenta semi circle is 20km range, this is on the far end for most RU artillery if they want to hit the right town.

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