Def Mon Profile picture
Sep 22, 2022 15 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Update 🧵September 22nd.
Visit the interactive map for more details and explanations.

Todays presentation is brought to you by Fraggelrov, the typical Lada shareholder, brothers morale is high.

Interactive map: scribblemaps.com/maps/view/Oper… Image
General Staff Ukraine reported 88 shelling locations today. There was one I could not locate. Image
FIRMS Data: 2022-09-22_19:33
Added 21 locations to kml
Filtered 8 locations by proximity to other fires
Removed 69 false positives Image
Kharkiv
RuAF attacked in the area of Kup'yans'k, I assume these attacks are attempts to push AFU back across the river. The AFU defended their positions. Image
Lyman
I added Krymky and Oleksandrivka to liberated territory. This is a gamble, but based on reports, i believe this is likely.
Ru sources report the AFU are trying to attack Lyman from two directions, they also report UA forces were near Ridkodub. Image
Furthermore they report "the situation in Lyman is extremely difficult"

The reported shellings in the are NW of Lyman confirms AFU presence in the area. Image
I would keep an eye on this area. No shellings were reported close to the Bilohorivka area, which is unusual. Image
Bakhmut-Donetsk
Except for 1 attack in the north, this is what the Russians could manage today. The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Zaitseve, Ozarianivka, Odradivka and Novomykhailivka ImageImage
In Kherson the Russians managed to build another temporary bridge over the Nova Kakhovka dam.
Russian conscripts will most likely be mobilized after their service period ends and be sent to Ukraine.

They are not ruling out using conscripts to fight on what is internationally recognized as Ukrainian territory.
46tv.ru/odnoj-strokoj/… Image
In the coming months, the 127000 Russians drafted for military service last October-December will be done with their conscription, they can then instantly mobilized and sent to Ukraine.
ISW wrote a bit about the Russian conscription in March
understandingwar.org/backgrounder/e…
RU units in Lyman might soon be out of artillery support, the magenta semi circle is 20km range, this is on the far end for most RU artillery if they want to hit the right town. Image

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More from @DefMon3

Oct 11, 2025
The only reason for them to be there is for them to be spotted there. This is part of Russian hybrid warfare escalations.
They decided to go and stand on this little piece of road right here.
57.923805, 27.679182 Image
There is some kind of local deal where Estonians are allowed to drive over that little stretch of Russian land if they don't stop.
news.err.ee/1609827133/ppa…
Read 5 tweets
Sep 12, 2025
Rough infil/exfil path of the UVU shooter, based on photos, videos and eye whitness reports. Green arrows are guestimated paths between sightings. Image
In the start of this video, the UVU shooter can be seen walking towards the campus, at the end he can be seen running away from it.
40.28187, -111.71443
The next location is the tunnel going under the Campus drive to the parking garage
40.28014, -111.71459 Image
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Read 12 tweets
Aug 9, 2025
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ. Image
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones. Image
Read 13 tweets
Jul 8, 2025
Grok canceling vatniks 🤣 Image
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Read 32 tweets
Jul 5, 2025
This is an interesting case. The local municipality decided to investigate their legal options to force the church to move.
Nothing says church like high metal fences, guard dogs and military age males in hoodies. Image
Read 4 tweets
Jun 25, 2025
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Image
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House. Image
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor? Image
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Read 9 tweets

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