Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Climate, Conflict, Politics, Africa. Editor https://t.co/b6HbxvmnsV (NZ) Reporting from France. https://t.co/LNVK0y9IS7 #nzpol #DesertRain

Oct 18, 2022, 7 tweets

[#ExtremeWeather #ClimateChangeNow coverage initiation THREAD].
The next potentially devastating northern hemisphere hurrricane candidate #92B has now been designated.

The potential new storm - which is modeled to head north into the Bay of Bengal in coming days and make - has been in global simulation models for several days. This is the latest GFS3 IWVT model run.

#Invest92b #92b GFS3 Model 16 day forecast of precipititable water (PWAT)

With a series of West Pacific tropical storms & typhoons - including #NenengPH [which you can see arriving in Vietnam shortly on upper right] - the Nth. Indian ocean is flooded with water vapour.

If cyclogenesis occurs - not expected currently in the short term - the storm will likely be another large wet sprawling storm bringing rains over a very large area.

I can't yet find a #JTWC statement about the storm but this statement was issued yesterday by the @WMO 's New Delhi office.

The primary impacts of the storm will likely be felt in the North East of India and Bangladesh.

Finally in this update here is the latest GFS3 rainfall solution over 16 days which shows significant rainfall over east and southern India, Myanmar and into the mountains of Arunachal Pradesh through to November.

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