contrarian 8888 Profile picture
Former hedge fund manager of a multi billion dollar fund. Interested in commodities & startups. Nothing should be construed as investment advice

Oct 23, 2022, 7 tweets

#INDIA $IBN $INDA #NIFTYBANK. Wishing all my Indian friends a Happy Diwali. Thought it worth sharing some interesting charts on india. Firstly, for those bullish oil- India is extremely susceptible to oil prices. In addition, India equities relative to bonds are highly

Inferior today

Now interestingly, Foreigners remain super long financials (that is where the $ will come from) and $IBN, despite posting strong results yesterday, they have been sequentially flat for 2 qtrs.

Risk appetite remains super high (contrast that with the US where AAII bull bear are at record lows for some time).

And valns relative to MSCI asia usually are at a 29% premium (given better returns) but are now at a shocking 89%. Yes i get Asia and particularly China has issues and India looks attractive but tell me this is not way in the price. One of the noted bears @arabicatrader had a

Spaces event yesterday and i barely saw more than a handful of participants. Whereas some of the bullish spaces (on india) are jam packed.They don’t ring a bell at the top but this sure looks super frothy. In any case this is my words of wisdom (or stupidity) on this special day

Spaces event yesterday and I barely saw more than a handful of participants.Whereas some of the bullish spaces (on india) are jam packed.They don’t ring a bell at the top but this sure looks super frothy. In any case these are my words of wisdom (or stupidity) on this special day

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