Thread by @DefMon3

Update🧵November 18th

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Yesterdays thread

The Ukrainian General Staff reported shellings all along the front line plus in the north and the liberated Kherson.

Svatove
The AFU repulsed attacks around Novoselivs'ke and Stel'makhivka. It seems like there is a lot of activity in this area, I think if we will see a break through, it will be around here.

Siversk
Fierce fighting is going on in this area.
The AFU repulsed attacks around Verkhn'okam'yans'ke, Sprine and Bilohorivka. I think it's possible RuAF are focusing on this area to disturb eventual attacks on Kreminna from the south-w.

I think attacks in the Siversk area increased after some reports about AFU advancing south of Kreminna. Wargonzo have reported about these attacks a for the last few days.
They also wrote "Urgent: Wargonzo has not confirmed battled around kreminna" <- sus
t.me/wargonzo/9319

Bakhmut
I think this area is mostly unchanged. Wargonzo report fighting within city limits, but also states map unchanged. I'd say it's the usual bullshit to promote wagner.

Donetsk
This is one of the hot spots of the active frontline, RuAFs goal is to encircle Avdiivka, the strategy is to shoot enough artillery at it to level it to the ground. Sooner or later even concrete breaks. But I don't see Avdiivka being occupied in the near future.

The AFU repulsed attacks around Opytne, Pervomaiske, Vodyane and Novomykhailivka. Pavlivka seems to have calmed down, I believe RuAF "control" the south part of the town.

Influencing operation by the AFU to make the Russians want to relocate from southern Pavlivka.
t.me/DeepStateUA/14…

There are no significant happenings on the remaining parts of the front line.

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I keep forgetting the weather. It looks like it will stay mostly above freezing for the next week.