The Ukrainian General Staff reported shellings all along the front line plus in the north and the liberated Kherson.
Svatove
The AFU repulsed attacks around Novoselivs'ke and Stel'makhivka. It seems like there is a lot of activity in this area, I think if we will see a break through, it will be around here.
Siversk
Fierce fighting is going on in this area.
The AFU repulsed attacks around Verkhn'okam'yans'ke, Sprine and Bilohorivka. I think it's possible RuAF are focusing on this area to disturb eventual attacks on Kreminna from the south-w.
I think attacks in the Siversk area increased after some reports about AFU advancing south of Kreminna. Wargonzo have reported about these attacks a for the last few days.
They also wrote "Urgent: Wargonzo has not confirmed battled around kreminna" <- sus t.me/wargonzo/9319
Bakhmut
I think this area is mostly unchanged. Wargonzo report fighting within city limits, but also states map unchanged. I'd say it's the usual bullshit to promote wagner.
Donetsk
This is one of the hot spots of the active frontline, RuAFs goal is to encircle Avdiivka, the strategy is to shoot enough artillery at it to level it to the ground. Sooner or later even concrete breaks. But I don't see Avdiivka being occupied in the near future.
The AFU repulsed attacks around Opytne, Pervomaiske, Vodyane and Novomykhailivka. Pavlivka seems to have calmed down, I believe RuAF "control" the south part of the town.
Influencing operation by the AFU to make the Russians want to relocate from southern Pavlivka. t.me/DeepStateUA/14…
There are no significant happenings on the remaining parts of the front line.
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I keep forgetting the weather. It looks like it will stay mostly above freezing for the next week.
🧵The situation in Vovchansk is interesting. The map shows geolocated positions the last 8 days h/t @UAControlMap. When the first rumors about an encirclement at the aggregate plant, I thought it was BS. But it appears there is some truth to it, supposedly 83rd VDV.
The extent of isolation and the amount of people is unclear. Once interesting thing is the Russians committed one of their best units, 2nd Special Purpose Brigade to fight in the town. We have mostly seen poorly trained and equipped units without mechanized support in this fight
According to RU channels UA withdrew from the Filtration Plant in the east and Zenith in the south. This is good news, since avoiding an encirclement should be a priority at this point. It seems the coke plant and Kvartal high-rises are the current UA strongholds.
RU forces continue to try to fully encircle Avdiivka pushing mainly from 3 directions.
It remains to be seen if Ukraine are planning to withdraw from the east side of the city, but I think it's a pretty good idea to do so.
UA might chose to fight for the coke plant and Kvartal for a bit, but the gap for the gloc is only 3km and consists of 2 windbreaks.
I frequently get questions like:
"Are you ok?"
"What happened?"
"Why did you stop posting?"
So here we go⬇️
Yes I'm ok.
(This post is sponsored by Ramzan Fragglerov)
Time.
I have less time to follow Ukraine. I usually spent about 3-4 hours a day to just make my daily threads and going through all the information channels. To be able to keep the information reliable, I have to put in 6-10h per day. I dont have that kind of time anymore.
I lost my best friend in March, so I had go get a new one. He is getting a lot of my attention now.
🧵During the last week, Ukrainian forces have advanced 32km2 in the Robotyne direction. They are expanding their penetration of the Surovikin and have reached the outskirts of Verbove and Verbove.