Update🧵November 19th
This presentation is presented by a new secret Russian unit from their very special forces.
If you know the name of this secret unit please let me know in the comments
Visit interactive map for more details and explanations:
Yesterdays thread
Shellings reported by Ukrainian general staff.
Weather
Fairly warm weather in the south with not a lot of rain. In the north we are looking at temperatures mostly above 0 and rain for the next 5 days.
Siveske
The AFU repulsed an attack in the area of Bilohorivka. Wargonzo also report RU attacks in the area of Verkhn'okam'yans'ke and Spirne.
Bakhmut
Prigozhins propaganda moves continue in this area. I suspect we will see increased activity when the Russians receive new canon fodder in this area. The first batch of untrained mobniks seems to have been spent already.
The AFU repulsed attacks around Klishchiivka and Kurdyumivka.
This video show a RU attack in the Klishchiivka area.
Source t.me/operativnoZSU/…
Mayorsk
RU claimed control over this area a few days ago, GSUA reported a shelling there today, based on geolocated video and the shelling i find it likely RU does not have control of the small settlement, only the railway station area.
Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Vodyane, Pervomais'ke and Novomykhailivka. The Russians are making small gains here, a few thousand meters per month at a high cost.
Pavlivka
Things have calmed down in this area a bit. I believe the AFU have moved out of Pavlivka, but RuAF are unable to move in due to artillery fire.
This area is important for logistic reasons. The railroad indicated in green here in range of Ukrainian 155mm artillery.
The other railroad supply route to the southern front is over the Kerch bridge which is not able to operate at full capacity, and it's possibly just 1 smoking accident away from being disabled.
Without the railroad connections, RuAF must rely on supplying their troops (and Crimea) with trucks and boats. But for some strange reason, the confidence of the Black Sea Fleet is not great at the moment.
This might have to do with recent smoking accidents in Sevastopol and previous accidents in Berdyansk.
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