Def Mon Profile picture
Nov 19, 2022 14 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Update🧵November 19th

This presentation is presented by a new secret Russian unit from their very special forces.
If you know the name of this secret unit please let me know in the comments

Visit interactive map for more details and explanations:
Shellings reported by Ukrainian general staff.
Weather
Fairly warm weather in the south with not a lot of rain. In the north we are looking at temperatures mostly above 0 and rain for the next 5 days.
Siveske
The AFU repulsed an attack in the area of Bilohorivka. Wargonzo also report RU attacks in the area of Verkhn'okam'yans'ke and Spirne.
Bakhmut
Prigozhins propaganda moves continue in this area. I suspect we will see increased activity when the Russians receive new canon fodder in this area. The first batch of untrained mobniks seems to have been spent already.
The AFU repulsed attacks around Klishchiivka and Kurdyumivka.
This video show a RU attack in the Klishchiivka area.
Source t.me/operativnoZSU/…
Mayorsk
RU claimed control over this area a few days ago, GSUA reported a shelling there today, based on geolocated video and the shelling i find it likely RU does not have control of the small settlement, only the railway station area.
Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Vodyane, Pervomais'ke and Novomykhailivka. The Russians are making small gains here, a few thousand meters per month at a high cost.
Pavlivka
Things have calmed down in this area a bit. I believe the AFU have moved out of Pavlivka, but RuAF are unable to move in due to artillery fire.
This area is important for logistic reasons. The railroad indicated in green here in range of Ukrainian 155mm artillery.
The other railroad supply route to the southern front is over the Kerch bridge which is not able to operate at full capacity, and it's possibly just 1 smoking accident away from being disabled.
Without the railroad connections, RuAF must rely on supplying their troops (and Crimea) with trucks and boats. But for some strange reason, the confidence of the Black Sea Fleet is not great at the moment.
This might have to do with recent smoking accidents in Sevastopol and previous accidents in Berdyansk.

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More from @DefMon3

Jul 5
This is an interesting case. The local municipality decided to investigate their legal options to force the church to move.
Nothing says church like high metal fences, guard dogs and military age males in hoodies. Image
Read 4 tweets
Jun 25
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Image
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House. Image
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor? Image
Image
Read 9 tweets
Jun 24
I have seen speculations about some of the HEU and centrifuges being moved to the new underground facilities (UGF) south west of Natanz main compound. I do not belive this is the case, I think the tunnel complex to the SW of the main facility is unfinished. Here is why Image
The main compound is secured by at least five layers of fencing and walls, with three checkpoints required to enter the facility. Image
Compare this to the new UGF complex to the SW.
Only two tunnels have extra fencing, the wall and fencing around it is incomplete. There are clear sings of construction work going in near the tunnel entrances. Image
Read 14 tweets
Jun 22
A lot of people are asking what we see in this image.
The two orange circles show where the impacts were, 3 holes at each circle making it 6 in total. There is no other visible damage.
Image from @michaelh992 Image
Read 9 tweets
Jun 15
"Residents of Saada Abad district chant slogans: Death to Khamenei the dictator Death to the murderer Khamenei Death to the Republic of Executions"
Read 5 tweets

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