Thread by @DefMon3

Ukraine Update🧵 January 3nd

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Yesterdays thread:

Shelling locations reported by UA general staff today.

Weather by @davidhelms570

Four nights with double digit negative temperatures. The ground will freeze, Russians, bodies will freeze will freeze.

Overview images

Keep in mind, the frontline is constantly moving and positions are changing hands.

Svatove
The AFU repulsed an attack in the area of Stel'makhivka. Possibly increased activity in the area of the Kupyansk bridge head based on shellings.

Kreminna-Siversk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Makiivka, Ploshchanka and Bilohorivka. Local telegram chats report small arms fire "close" to Kreminna, unclear if they are shooting at drones or if there is actual fighting.

Bakhmut
The AFU repulsed attacks around Rozdolivka, Soledar, Krasna Hora, Pidhorodne, Bakhmut and Kurdyumivka. It seems RuAF are making small gains north and south of Soledar, a few trenches/firing points per day.

Both sides are taking heavy losses around Bakhmut, but the numbers are never in favor of the attacker in a attritional conventional ground war.

The continued RU attacks on Bakhmut could be compared with the RU attacks in the Izium area during the summer. This is how the RuAF destroyed most of their combat potential. During the summer they used a lot of forced mobilized LDNR but they ran out and now use mobilized Russians

Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Avdiivka and Marinka. I have no expectations of any major movements in this area.

The AFU recently hit Orc locations around Velyki Kopani, Kostohryzove, Hola Prystan' and Tokmak

AFU hit on Tokmak