Keep in mind, the frontline is constantly moving and positions are changing hands.
Svatove
The AFU repulsed an attack in the area of Stel'makhivka. Possibly increased activity in the area of the Kupyansk bridge head based on shellings.
Kreminna-Siversk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Makiivka, Ploshchanka and Bilohorivka. Local telegram chats report small arms fire "close" to Kreminna, unclear if they are shooting at drones or if there is actual fighting.
Bakhmut
The AFU repulsed attacks around Rozdolivka, Soledar, Krasna Hora, Pidhorodne, Bakhmut and Kurdyumivka. It seems RuAF are making small gains north and south of Soledar, a few trenches/firing points per day.
Both sides are taking heavy losses around Bakhmut, but the numbers are never in favor of the attacker in a attritional conventional ground war.
The continued RU attacks on Bakhmut could be compared with the RU attacks in the Izium area during the summer. This is how the RuAF destroyed most of their combat potential. During the summer they used a lot of forced mobilized LDNR but they ran out and now use mobilized Russians
Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Avdiivka and Marinka. I have no expectations of any major movements in this area.
The AFU recently hit Orc locations around Velyki Kopani, Kostohryzove, Hola Prystan' and Tokmak
🧵The situation in Vovchansk is interesting. The map shows geolocated positions the last 8 days h/t @UAControlMap. When the first rumors about an encirclement at the aggregate plant, I thought it was BS. But it appears there is some truth to it, supposedly 83rd VDV.
The extent of isolation and the amount of people is unclear. Once interesting thing is the Russians committed one of their best units, 2nd Special Purpose Brigade to fight in the town. We have mostly seen poorly trained and equipped units without mechanized support in this fight
According to RU channels UA withdrew from the Filtration Plant in the east and Zenith in the south. This is good news, since avoiding an encirclement should be a priority at this point. It seems the coke plant and Kvartal high-rises are the current UA strongholds.
RU forces continue to try to fully encircle Avdiivka pushing mainly from 3 directions.
It remains to be seen if Ukraine are planning to withdraw from the east side of the city, but I think it's a pretty good idea to do so.
UA might chose to fight for the coke plant and Kvartal for a bit, but the gap for the gloc is only 3km and consists of 2 windbreaks.
I frequently get questions like:
"Are you ok?"
"What happened?"
"Why did you stop posting?"
So here we go⬇️
Yes I'm ok.
(This post is sponsored by Ramzan Fragglerov)
Time.
I have less time to follow Ukraine. I usually spent about 3-4 hours a day to just make my daily threads and going through all the information channels. To be able to keep the information reliable, I have to put in 6-10h per day. I dont have that kind of time anymore.
I lost my best friend in March, so I had go get a new one. He is getting a lot of my attention now.
🧵During the last week, Ukrainian forces have advanced 32km2 in the Robotyne direction. They are expanding their penetration of the Surovikin and have reached the outskirts of Verbove and Verbove.