A 🧵on 🇷🇺 + 🇺🇦 losses per @Volya_media, for 12/9/22-1/31/23.
Losses = Killed, Missing, POW
TLDR:
🇷🇺 39.3k- 39.6k Losses (133k -137k total)
🇷🇺 114.3k- 114.4k WIA (291k-305k total)
🇺🇦 15.3k- 15.4k Losses (62.2-65.8k total)
🇺🇦 59k- 59.1k WIA (148k-154.6k total)
1/8
🇷🇺 RU losses breakdown 12/9/22-1/31/23.
🇷🇺Army (including DPR/LPR):
15,490 -15,600 losses
60,801-60,969 WIA
🇷🇺Natl Guard:
130-150 losses
402-410 WIA
Wagner/PMCs:
23,700-23,870 losses
52,940-53,100 WIA
🇷🇺Navy/Marines:
0 casualties (no data)
~2,850 casualties/day
2/8
🇺🇦UA losses breakdown 12/9/22-1/31/23.
346- 360 losses due to rear line strikes.
840- 850 WIA due to rear line strikes.
15,046- 15,107 losses on all fronts .
58,290- 58,305 WIA on all fronts (including sick leave).
~1,380 casualties/day.
3/8
🇷🇺 RU overall losses until 1/31/23:
133,100- 137,731 losses (~394/day).
~30% are MIA.
291,295- 304,964 WIA (~869/day)
~40% are lightly wounded, most return to duty.
Not all are wounded at same time.
Total casualties: 424.4k- 442.7k in 343 days
(~1264 a day)
4/8
🇺🇦UA overall losses until 1/31/23:
62,233- 65,823 losses (~143/day)
~20% are MIA
148,782- 154,643 WIA ( ~442/day)
~50% are lightly wounded, most return to duty.
Total casualties: 211k- 220.5k (~628/day)
UA counts UAF, NGU, TDF, Police, Intl Legion in these figures.
5/8
Regarding the casualty counts, which fluctuate, and do not follow the traditionally quoted standards of (1:3 or 1:5):
RU Battlefield medicine is extraordinarily poor. Lots of survivable wounds become deadly.
Lightly wounded UA soldiers often refuse to leave the front.
6/8
Regarding Missing In Action:
~20% of UA Losses are MIA, and ~30% of RU losses.
Generally MIA means they are dead. Sometimes they are captured, or deserters.
There are more UA POW's then RU POW's, and vastly more RU deserters then UA.
Wagner has poor KIA accounting.
7/8
Regarding sources and methods:
@Volya_media
Has been tracking RU/UA casualties via numerous sources since the early days of the war, and have had their data echoed by other estimates.
They are RU-language media, but very much anti-Putin.
Here's their breakdown:
8/8🧵
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