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Feb 2, 2023 โ€ข 9 tweets โ€ข 5 min read โ€ข Read on X
A ๐Ÿงตon ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ + ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ losses per @Volya_media, for 12/9/22-1/31/23.

Losses = Killed, Missing, POW

TLDR:
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ 39.3k- 39.6k Losses (133k -137k total)
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ 114.3k- 114.4k WIA (291k-305k total)

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ 15.3k- 15.4k Losses (62.2-65.8k total)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ 59k- 59.1k WIA (148k-154.6k total)

1/8
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ RU losses breakdown 12/9/22-1/31/23.

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บArmy (including DPR/LPR):
15,490 -15,600 losses
60,801-60,969 WIA

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บNatl Guard:
130-150 losses
402-410 WIA

Wagner/PMCs:
23,700-23,870 losses
52,940-53,100 WIA

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บNavy/Marines:
0 casualties (no data)

~2,850 casualties/day

2/8
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆUA losses breakdown 12/9/22-1/31/23.

346- 360 losses due to rear line strikes.

840- 850 WIA due to rear line strikes.

15,046- 15,107 losses on all fronts .

58,290- 58,305 WIA on all fronts (including sick leave).

~1,380 casualties/day.

3/8
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ RU overall losses until 1/31/23:

133,100- 137,731 losses (~394/day).
~30% are MIA.

291,295- 304,964 WIA (~869/day)
~40% are lightly wounded, most return to duty.

Not all are wounded at same time.

Total casualties: 424.4k- 442.7k in 343 days
(~1264 a day)

4/8
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆUA overall losses until 1/31/23:

62,233- 65,823 losses (~143/day)
~20% are MIA

148,782- 154,643 WIA ( ~442/day)
~50% are lightly wounded, most return to duty.

Total casualties: 211k- 220.5k (~628/day)

UA counts UAF, NGU, TDF, Police, Intl Legion in these figures.

5/8
Regarding the casualty counts, which fluctuate, and do not follow the traditionally quoted standards of (1:3 or 1:5):

RU Battlefield medicine is extraordinarily poor. Lots of survivable wounds become deadly.

Lightly wounded UA soldiers often refuse to leave the front.

6/8
Regarding Missing In Action:

~20% of UA Losses are MIA, and ~30% of RU losses.

Generally MIA means they are dead. Sometimes they are captured, or deserters.

There are more UA POW's then RU POW's, and vastly more RU deserters then UA.

Wagner has poor KIA accounting.

7/8
Regarding sources and methods:

@Volya_media
Has been tracking RU/UA casualties via numerous sources since the early days of the war, and have had their data echoed by other estimates.

They are RU-language media, but very much anti-Putin.

Here's their breakdown:

8/8๐Ÿงต

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More from @LanguageIearner

Feb 14
A terrorist attack in Mykolaiv -

Around 1415 today, a woman approached a group of soldiers in uniform in the city center, where her bag detonated. She was killed immediately, and there are further casualties.

Speculation is that the woman didn't know she was carrying a bomb. Image
Image
Image
Image
Source: local Kherson channel "Kherson Non-Fake", which is a very reliable source.

t.me/kherson_non_faโ€ฆ
A woman approached soldiers (not TCC military recruiting staff) in the city center carrying a bag. Before that, she had been inside a shopping mall. She likely didn't know what was inside, but it was an explosive device. She will have to be identified by DNA.
Read 5 tweets
Oct 9, 2023
Everyone's talking about Gaza. Lets talk about it too, but from a medical perspective.

This is for civilians stuck in the middle of what is to be a very violent time and place. Don't lump me in with Hamas.

Tldr: Improvised tourniquets, chest seals, and gauze.

๐Ÿงต(1/13)๐Ÿ”ป Gaza improvised hospital, time and location unknown.
The IDF will conduct an invasion of Gaza, where ~2.4 million people live at high density (6,500/km2, 16,800/mi2).
Israel and Egypt currently have the borders closed for security concerns.
Hamas certainly isn't interested in helping.

The civilians are stuck. (2/23)
Old graphic๐Ÿ”ป Old data regarding Gaza strip population density. Much higher now, Gaza has very high population growth.
Urban warfare is brutal (@SpencerGuard ). During the battle of Shujaiyya (pic) in 2014, the IDF utilized heavy volumes of artillery to end heavy Hamas resistance in Gaza city after IDF losses.

They will likely do so again- the alternative is heavy IDF causalities. (4/13) Shujaiyya neighborhood following the 3-day battle in 2014.
Read 13 tweets
Aug 15, 2023
Hello, we here at Global Augmentation (a registered 501c3) are launching a fundraiser for $15,000 USD, for the purchase + delivery via Nova Posta of 1000+ certified Ukrainian tourniquets to frontline troops we've trained. More info below (1/7)

spot.fund/c77k4sc
What is a Tourniquet (TQ)?

A TQ is an emergency medical device that works to stop massive bleeding from the arms or legs, by squeezing the artery (the major blood vessel) to the bone. Effective and rapid TQ use saves lives every single day here, as the most common intervention. Image
Why is it important?

Arm/Leg bleeding is the most common cause of preventable death in warzones with shrapnel cutting arteries, explosions taking off limbs, and more. Effective and rapid tourniquet use saves lives every single day here, more then any other intervention. Image
Read 8 tweets
Dec 12, 2022
A ๐Ÿงตon RU + UA losses per @Volya_media, for 11/8/22-12/8/22.

Losses = Killed, Missing, POW

TLDR:
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ 21,320- 21,380 Losses (93.8k-98.1k total)
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ 43,200- 43,469 WIA (177k-190.5k total)

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ 7,900- 8,100 Losses (47.2k-50.3k total)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ 23,980- 24,000 WIA (89.6k-95.5k total)

1/11 ImageImage
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ RU losses breakdown 11/8-12/8/22

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บArmy (including DPR/LPR):
11,830-11,850 losses
24,708-24,768 WIA

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บNatl Guard:
1,100-1,120 losses
2,420-2,550 WIA

Wagner/PMCs:
8,293-8,297 losses
15,940-16,010 WIA

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บNavy/Marines:
100 losses
130-139 WIA

~2,156 casualties/day

2/11 ImageImage
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆUA Losses for 11/8-12/8/22

110- 130 losses due to rear line missile strikes.

202- 206 WIA due to rear line missile strikes.

7,790- 7,970 losses on all fronts .

23,778- 23,794 WIA on all fronts (including sick leave).

~1,066 casualties/day.

3/11 ImageImage
Read 12 tweets
Nov 29, 2022
4th RRB Voices from Bakhmut:

"Our infantry is fighting flawlessly - otherwise Bakhmut would have fallen long ago"

The NGU soldier with the call sign "Krafter" is performing tasks as part of the 3rd Battalion of the Rapid Reaction Brigade "Svoboda".

๐Ÿงต1/8 Image
Like many of his colleagues, Krafter is a volunteer who joined the ranks of the National Guard, and later the 4th RRB after February 24, when he found the full-scale Russian invasion in his hometown as he woke up to rocket attacks early in the morning down the road.

2/8 Image
" It was no longer possible to wait, to sit. I went from my hometown to Kyiv - I just got into the car with volunteers, not knowing where exactly fate would throw me. Later I got to the "Svoboda" battalion, where I am currently serving."

3/8 Image
Read 8 tweets
Nov 10, 2022
A thread on continued RU/UA op in Kherson region. Sources from @Volya_media, ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆOPCOM South forces, Kherson TG, ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆsoldiers + others.

TLDR: RU is abandoning its positions, collapsing to defend around Kherson city and the Kahkovka dam.

I'm using @AndrewPerpetua's map.

๐Ÿงต1/9
To the NW of Kherson city, the 1st ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บline of defense, from Pravdyne-Snihurivka, is completely abandoned to the W of the Inhulets river.

The 2nd ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ line (Tomyna Balka- Chornobaika area) is reportedly in process of withdrawal.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆis advancing here, slowly and methodically.
2/9
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Soldiers in and around Kherson city proper are preparing for an urban defense, with heavy mining of the city, suburbs, and civilian infrastructure such as homes and fields.

A regiment of ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ combat engineers are being deployed to aid in this effect. They came from Donetsk.
3/9
Read 10 tweets

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