🧵This video of a Ukrainian special forces assault on Snake Island in May just surfaced.
I believe that this was on the morning of May 7th based on a previous investigation of that date I have done with @ArtisanalAPT. I will lay out a timeline below
Some time prior to May 6th at 14:49 a Ukrainian TB-2 destroyed a Russian Tor on Snake snake Island.
We know that it was prior to May 6th at 14:49 as a satellite pass shared by AP from that time showed a building destroyed with was still intact on the video.
In the early morning hours of May 7th, two Ukrainian Air Force Su-27s bombed Snake Island.
At 04:20 local time on May 4th a Ukrainian TB-2 struck a Russian Serna-class landing craft on the island.
At 9:07 UTC on May 7th, two Ukrainian Sea Force 11M RIBs were seen on satellite moving away from Snake Island. I believe this is immediately after the assault shown on the newly released video.
A plume of smoke from the water and what appear to be life rafts were also visible.
According to this post logged in @oryxspioenkop's list, a Ukrainian Mi-14 was lost some time prior to May 9th after having been shot down by a Russian fighter aircraft.
A Ukrainian Naval aviator was killed some time around that date while performing a mission near Snake Island. The unit he was reportedly assigned to operates Mi-14s.
At least one of the Ukrainian Sea Force 11M RIBs was spotted right off Snake Island at 08:44 UTC on May 7th.
At 00:53 on May 8th a Russian Mi-8 was destroyed by a Ukrainian TB-2 while unloading troops. At the time there was confusion as to why the troops appeared to be expecting contact on Russian controlled Snake Island.
We now know a Ukrainian SOF strike took place the day prior.
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