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Oliver Alexander Profile picture
@OAlexanderDK
Feb 14, 2023 • 10 tweets • 5 min read • Read on X
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🧵This video of a Ukrainian special forces assault on Snake Island in May just surfaced.

I believe that this was on the morning of May 7th based on a previous investigation of that date I have done with @ArtisanalAPT. I will lay out a timeline below

Some time prior to May 6th at 14:49 a Ukrainian TB-2 destroyed a Russian Tor on Snake snake Island.
We know that it was prior to May 6th at 14:49 as a satellite pass shared by AP from that time showed a building destroyed with was still intact on the video.
In the early morning hours of May 7th, two Ukrainian Air Force Su-27s bombed Snake Island.
At 04:20 local time on May 4th a Ukrainian TB-2 struck a Russian Serna-class landing craft on the island.

At 9:07 UTC on May 7th, two Ukrainian Sea Force 11M RIBs were seen on satellite moving away from Snake Island. I believe this is immediately after the assault shown on the newly released video.

A plume of smoke from the water and what appear to be life rafts were also visible.
According to this post logged in @oryxspioenkop's list, a Ukrainian Mi-14 was lost some time prior to May 9th after having been shot down by a Russian fighter aircraft.
A Ukrainian Naval aviator was killed some time around that date while performing a mission near Snake Island. The unit he was reportedly assigned to operates Mi-14s.
At least one of the Ukrainian Sea Force 11M RIBs was spotted right off Snake Island at 08:44 UTC on May 7th.
At 00:53 on May 8th a Russian Mi-8 was destroyed by a Ukrainian TB-2 while unloading troops. At the time there was confusion as to why the troops appeared to be expecting contact on Russian controlled Snake Island.

We now know a Ukrainian SOF strike took place the day prior.

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More from @OAlexanderDK

Oliver Alexander Profile picture
Jul 19
🧵Analysis of footage from the Trump assassination attempt shows that Trump and David Dutch were hit in Crook's initial 3 shot volley. Corey Comperatore and James Copenhaver were struck by Crook's follow-up volley a few seconds later. (1/8) Image
This wide angle recorded by the Right Side Broadcasting Network shows the entire event unfold and shows all 3 bystanders get struck by Crook's bullets. (2/8)
The first round fired by Crook's impacts the railing visible in the video quoted here causing a puff of smoke after grazing Donald Trump. (3/8)



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Read 28 tweets
Oliver Alexander Profile picture
Mar 26
As can be seen from this video, Dali starts billowing dark smoke from its funnel just prior to the turn that sets it on a course with the pillar.

At the same time the vessel appears to briefly lose power as many of the lights onboard go out for a few seconds.
Dali starts billowing smoke at 01:25:39 EDT and then loses power for 30 seconds at 01:26:37. This is the exact point when the ship begins to alter course towards the bridge pillar.
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The vessel only drifted about 75 meters south west of where it should have passed under the Francis Scott Key Bridge.

It appears very likely that a malfunction on the vessel caused it to briefly lose power, which caused it to drift slightly off course impacting the bridge.
Read 4 tweets
Oliver Alexander Profile picture
Jan 27
🧵If this video was recorded on January 24th 2024, it poses as many questions as it answers.

Due to the Russian governments decision to add a cut in the middle, it is impossible to verify completely, but here are some things it does show:
The video was indeed filmed at Chkalovsky airport in Moscow where Russia claims the Il-76 that was shot down departed from.

There is a cut towards the end of the video. During this cut, the Tu-154 parked close to the Il-76 has departed.

A Tu-154M matching the aircraft that disappears during the cut departs from Chkalovsky Air Base at 09:55AM MSK on January 24th.


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Read 8 tweets
Oliver Alexander Profile picture
Oct 21, 2023
🧵After looking at all the currently available data on the al-Ahli Arab Hospital explosion, I have made two discoveries.

#1: The "rocket" in this video is in fact a Tamir interceptor missile launched by Iron Dome and not directly related to the explosion.
#2 : Two of the videos thought to show the explosion at the hospital, which have been used in many analysis, do not show that blast, but another explosion in Gaza that happened approximately 20 seconds prior.

The first is the video from Netiv HaAsara.


The second is the video posted by Channel 12 News. Both these videos show the same event, which took place just prior to the hospital explosion, but end before we see the explosion or launch of the Tamir interceptor from Iron Dome.


Read 21 tweets
Oliver Alexander Profile picture
Oct 17, 2023
The failed rocket launch is looking more and more like the culprit in the attack on the hospital.

This video shows the impact a few moments after an interception.
The building burning in the video is the hospital.

Note the distinctive shape and solar panels on the roof of the building in the foreground.

(31.5051383, 34.4612642)

H/T @COUPSURE + @ELINTNews
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@COUPSURE @ELINTNews The blast at the hospital happens less than 20 seconds after a large volley of rockets is launched at Israel with a trajectory over the hospital.
Read 11 tweets
Oliver Alexander Profile picture
Aug 26, 2023
🧵There are a few major points that never get mentioned in the Spiegel article, which add significant question marks to the Andromeda story.

- The owner of Feeria Lwowa
- Weather conditions
- Minerva Julie

spiegel.de/international/…
The article mentions that the company that paid for the Andromeda charter, Feeria Lwowa, is run by a Ukrainian woman in Kyiv.

There is however no mention of the owner of the company "Diana B."

n-tv.de/politik/Nord-S…
Diana B. was born in Uzbekistan, moved to Kerch in 2001, and has Russian citizenship. She still lives in Kerch and moves around freely inside Russia, posting images of herself on social media.

She has also worked for the Pro-Russian authorities in Crimea.
Read 9 tweets

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