1/ Spe Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on Feb 18, 2023
Situation is quite difficult in several directions all around #Bakhmut but under control almost everywhere except on the North where the situation is degrading.
Ongoing hard fights
#UkraineMap
2/ Ru are massively attacking in 2 directions and like sharks they are smelling blood. ready to bite themselves or lose a bit, just to go forward now as they "feel" they are close to achieve their goal.
But we are still FAR from it. don't get confuse about it. still a lot to do.
3/ If you compare for instance with #Mariinka or #Vuhledar, little tiny local places, there is still a lot to protect!
my main concern here is more about the huge amount of support needed Vs the available roads (not now, right now we are 100% ok) & troop morale in the area.
4/ So #Wagner is indicating & it seems confirms that "they" (don't be fooled right now there is much Ru regular army in most places than Wagner) r pushing of course as explained this morning in direction of #Berkhivka or south between #Ivaniske and the rail line, but there is no
5/ proper road there... so it's gonna be really difficult for them to push with no armored material whatsoever.
it's going to be easy in the north as they are now controlling some heights and it's way more easy to go directly with 2 or 3 axis to #Berkhivka
6/ reminder : morning report
18th of course... i guess the coffee was not strong enough..
7/
8/ last gen staff report
#klishchiivka area not entirely under Ru control!
they still launch operations from the village, but they are not master of the high grounds.
also not that #zaliznianske is not "under control" of Ru. This is a tiny village but high grounds dominate above
9/so don't be fooled by some Ru reports.
My last thoughts abt all this: is as this morning : 1- do Ukr high command wants to keep #Bakhmut for the next couple of weeks.
2- do some defenders wants to really stay there or realize it's gonna the same even if they move out.
10/ Maybe the solution for both would be a "minor" yet strong enough counter offensive, to give some signals to local troops that they are not just dying sitting like ducks, (it's always more thrilling to go forward) even if for sure, there would be more casualties in the process
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