Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Climate, Conflict, Politics, Africa. Editor (NZ) Reporting from France. #nzpol #DesertRain

Mar 10, 2023, 5 tweets

The high intensity ensemble model forecasts for #CycloneFreddy #Freddy have always indicated the possibility of it turning and exiting before landfall.

And now the HRWF cyclone model is indicating this also.

However a very large cyclone sitting off the coast can still produce very large quantities of rain.

But the catastrophic rainfalls indicated yesterday 300-500mms of rain deep inland may not now eventuate.

The storm has experienced startling intensification over the past few hours in line with the model.

View current Diagnostic imagery



In this latest HRMWF forecast RUN #Cyclone Freddy does not get that close to the coast, but does build a prodigious eye and remains near the coast through till at least 15th March - moving very slowly.

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