Thread by @applepie110101

#Ukraine June 20, updates from @escortert.
in two parts
-> PdS1, Dnipro-Donetsk offensive
-> PdS2, Louhansk-Siversk-Avdiivka areas & Background
Here is the PdS2 for today 👇

@escortert 0/n
First, read June 20 part1 (PdS1)
- that's the real June 20 part 1, typing error in the date -

1/n
#WarInUkraine D+482 (20/06) PdS2 - Sectors #Louhansk,#Siversk,#Avdiivka & Backstage
1-review of military problems 🇺🇦 🇷🇺
2-review of fronts outside 🇺🇦 offensive
3-brief geopolitical review

The "Katyusha" have it in for us 👇

2/n

Time machine,
If you've lost the thread, pick it up again with N°CDLXXXI-II of #WarInUkraine 👇

3/n

1/ This new section presents an "audit" of the military problems posed to 🇺🇦 by 🇷🇺
In the opposite column, each risk is presented in terms of how it is or isn't managed.
In the last column, my inevitably subjective assessment of 🇺🇦 's coverage of the risk.

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The 🇺🇦 assault doctrine can be adapted to night assaults👇, as #AFU have the right equipment in number and quality.

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ATGMs and anti-tank weapons have been installed in large numbers on the contact line by 🇷🇺, forcing MBTs to launch short, violent assaults and then withdraw

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(2b) Each of these ATGM munitions narrowly missed 🇺🇦 tank 👇

7/n

(2c) Counter-battery with precision artillery like Caesars can reduce 🇷🇺 fire support

Here, south of #VelykaNovosilka

8/n

(2a) Ka-52s are a problem, but AA Defense is a solution

Ka-52 damaged by an AA missile (at tail rotor level) then jettisoned its fuel tanks 👇

9/n

Russian-led electronic warfare has been causing problems for 🇺🇦 for several weeks now.
Curiously, it was mistakenly thought that Western sanctions and electronic countermeasures tools would be enough to solve the problem

But no...

10/n

The miniaturization of EW units makes them difficult to detect, and 🇺🇦 is condemned to a cat-and-mouse game that doesn't seem to be the most satisfactory solution.

here, a Sobolyatnik 1L277 portable recognition complex destroyed👇

11/n

The fiasco of the 47th Brigade column south of #Orikhiv was caused by an obvious solved problem: minefields
We remain surprised that greater care was not taken to set up mobility corridors by 🇺🇦 ...

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🇺🇦 MICLIC used in #Pyatikhatky👇to clear mines

13/n

We can't get enough of it 👇

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2/ review of fronts outside 🇺🇦 offensive

(i) #Louhansk front, 🇷🇺 no tactical gains

🇷🇺 are back on the offensive to regain the initiative on the whole segment, without success so far.

- In the #Kupyansk👇 direction,

15/n

We finally have images👇 of the (known) control of #LymanPershyi by 🇷🇺 but still no images of a phantom bridgehead on the western part of the Oskil, which probably doesn't exist
t.me/fedorenkoys/42

16/n

- In the #Kreminna👇 direction, all-out assaults on the western flank of #Kreminna in the #Yampolivka, #Torske, #Dibrova, #Hryhorivka axes involving the 🇷🇺 76th div. Airborne

- In #Svatove direction,
In the #novoselivske axis, 🇷🇺 assault repulsed

17/n

(ii) #Donetsk front, 🇷🇺 no tactical gains

- In the #Siversk direction,
In the #Spirne axis (southeast), 🇷🇺 assault repulsed

- In #Vuhledar direction, mine stockpile destroyed by the glorious 🇺🇦 72nd brigade👇

18/n

🇷🇺 have done everything to push back 🇺🇦 positions near #pobieda 👇

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A real battle took place towards #pobieda

Result: 🇺🇦 marginal tactical gain

🇷🇺 IFV discovered and destroyed by 🇺🇦👇

20/n

-In the #Marinka direction, despite Soviet suicide tanks and thermobaric bombs, #Mariinka razed to the foundations is still not 🇷🇺, frantic assaults being repelled

At #Mariinka, a rotation ends badly👇pour 🇷🇺

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- In the direction of #Avdiivka👇

In the #Krasnohorivka axis, 🇷🇺 assaults repelled
In the axis of #Novomykhailivka (SE), 🇷🇺 assaults repelled

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3/ brief geopolitical review

(i) Western space,

🇫🇷's support for 🇺🇦's NATO membership

(ii) Asian space

#BLINKEN👇 says #China has promised not to supply weapons to 🇷🇺 but there's still the problem of "dual-use" components
state.gov/secretary-of-s…

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🇺🇦, 16 months I've been looking deep into your eyes👇

🇺🇦, I 💙💛 you

PHOTO: @blue_eyedKeti

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Thanks @escortert for this new update
Source PdS2 June 20