Randy Mott Profile picture
Republican activist, lawyer, environmental businessman, former infantry officer. American in Poland and Orlando

Aug 19, 2023, 21 tweets

RUSSIA IS LOSING BADLY
This thread will set out all of the indications that the Russians are now losing badly. This is not based on opinions, but tangible evidence that can be verified from open sources./1
@threadreaderapp unroll

Heavy Russian tank losses have been reported and verified by third-parties. These figures can be verified by the Russians being forced to bring in older and far less effective tanks. First it was T62s (designed in the 1950s)./2
thedrive.com/the-war-zone/r…

Then they had to bring in T54s and T55s (designed in the late 1940s). These can even be taken out with the Bradley 25mm Bushmaster:/3
euromaidanpress.com/2023/03/22/mor…

Despite ridiculous claims by the Kremlin, their tank production rate is very small (400 tanks a year) and often is only modified older tanks or newer models without key modern systems./4

Russia also cannot replace troops losses with anyone but untrained conscript and convicts. This is reflected in the abysmal combat performance of units like tank crews:/5
wsj.com/video/series/n…

The conscripts drafted are normally sent to the front and left without adequate food, weapons or support. Dozens of these videos are emerging on UKr & Russian social media./6


Many attacks now are comprised soleyl of convicts & others with no training and inadequate weapons. Thousands of untrained convicts have been used as cannon fodder by the Russians (without significant tactical results)./7

New Russia attacks with convicts in the front have been repelled with great Russian losses./8

The lack of Russian rotation of units (done by Ukraine) means they have been engaged and fighting almost non-stop for months (see 12 Popov comments). This has led them to the edge of combat ineffectiveness across the front./9

The morale and effectivenss of Russian troops has dropped significantly. These Rusisans panicked a few days ago on the Southern front and were wiped out as Ukraine took a major objective./10

Ukrainians have been given far more accurate artillery by NATO than anything the Russian have (esp as they are now also bringing in ancient guns from storage)./11

The counter-battery Ukrainian fire has hit Russians hard and they have no effective response, according to one of their top generals./12

This type of fire has also decimated Russian air defenses, allowing Ukrainian drones to go anywhere (spotting for arty and directly taking out Russians)./13

An example of how free Ukraine rones are to roam behind the lines to direct precise fire here shows a Russian trraining area far from the front getting taken out by precision fire./14

Supplies of basic necessities to the troops on the front haved become very difficult. But often the corruption in the Russian supply chain rears its ugly head./15

The Ukrainians report destroying about 20 Russian artillery emplacements a day (1% of RF total). This can be verified by Russian reports that they have lost their major advantage in the war, i.e. the artillery disparity./16

While Russians with highly inaccurate guns have been firing cluster munitions from the beginning of the war, now that Ukraine is using more accurate and effective US cluster rounds, the Russians report major problems./17

These clsuter rounds are in abundance now and used to pound Russian defensive positions. This is also demoralizing Russian solders./18

There is a long way to go to force Russia out of Ukraine. Brave soldiers will die & eqpt will be lost. But Russia now has every indication of an army seeing signs of defeat everywhere. These clips & links are just a sample of the diluge of new info.
#RussiaLosing #UkraineMustWin

Anotehr development showing Russians desperation: they make inane attacks that only accelerate their demise. Here they lost important remaining T90s and some of their dwindling veterans who actually had some training./ 14

Another Russian general decides it is futile for Russian to try to win at this point./20
kyivpost.com/post/20671

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