Aizenberg Profile picture
Author; Board member @HonestReporting; wrote @NGOmonitor rebuttals debunking HRW & Amnesty "apartheid" reports; articles in Tablet, Fathom Journal etc.

Dec 22, 2023, 7 tweets

🧵FAKE HAMAS CASUALTY UPDATE: Latest Hamas fatality count of ~20,000 claims at least 14,200 are women & children. If one accepts these numbers it means IDF has only killed ~840 Hamas versus latest IDF estimate of 8,000. Here is detailed analysis which shows Hamas is lying: 1/

IDF yesterday said 8,000 Hamas killed which would mean only 12,000 civilians killed (assuming Hamas total number is accurate) which is 2,200 less than total women & children Hamas claims, forgetting any civilian men. Either Hamas or IDF is massively lying. 2/

If one accepts Hamas women & children killed as accurate it NECESSARILY means that IDF has killed less than 1,000 combatants vs 19,000 civilians. This would mean IDF is inflating combatants killed by ~7,000 and the war is a complete failure! Do you believe this? See analysis: 3/

With 20,000 killed reported by Hamas, statistically, deaths of children women & men should roughly match population proportion of each group in Gaza. Particularly if claiming “indiscriminate bombing.” Chart below shows how many civilian men fatalities there should be: ~4,960. 4/

Since Hamas is claiming 14,200 women & children killed, and civilian men killed should be ~4,960 based on proportion of civilian men in Gaza, this means what is left is only be about 840 combatants killed by IDF. The comment pasted below summarizes the conclusion. 5/

Here are some of the male “civilians” of Hamas, caught on camera here planting an explosive device in a 1:31 minute video. Not a single Hamas member wears a uniform and it is certain Hamas counts them all as “civilian” while inflating women & children killed. 6/

Hamas has inflated civilian deaths to absurd levels (even one is tragic but ALL for the account of Hamas). By not claiming any combatant deaths & not showing men killed separately, it takes statistical analysis to see through the lies. Why is media not doing basic analysis? END

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