Aizenberg Profile picture
Dec 22, 2023 • 7 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
🧵FAKE HAMAS CASUALTY UPDATE: Latest Hamas fatality count of ~20,000 claims at least 14,200 are women & children. If one accepts these numbers it means IDF has only killed ~840 Hamas versus latest IDF estimate of 8,000. Here is detailed analysis which shows Hamas is lying: 1/ Image
IDF yesterday said 8,000 Hamas killed which would mean only 12,000 civilians killed (assuming Hamas total number is accurate) which is 2,200 less than total women & children Hamas claims, forgetting any civilian men. Either Hamas or IDF is massively lying. 2/ Image
If one accepts Hamas women & children killed as accurate it NECESSARILY means that IDF has killed less than 1,000 combatants vs 19,000 civilians. This would mean IDF is inflating combatants killed by ~7,000 and the war is a complete failure! Do you believe this? See analysis: 3/
With 20,000 killed reported by Hamas, statistically, deaths of children women & men should roughly match population proportion of each group in Gaza. Particularly if claiming “indiscriminate bombing.” Chart below shows how many civilian men fatalities there should be: ~4,960. 4/ Image
Since Hamas is claiming 14,200 women & children killed, and civilian men killed should be ~4,960 based on proportion of civilian men in Gaza, this means what is left is only be about 840 combatants killed by IDF. The comment pasted below summarizes the conclusion. 5/ Image
Here are some of the male “civilians” of Hamas, caught on camera here planting an explosive device in a 1:31 minute video. Not a single Hamas member wears a uniform and it is certain Hamas counts them all as “civilian” while inflating women & children killed. 6/ Image
Hamas has inflated civilian deaths to absurd levels (even one is tragic but ALL for the account of Hamas). By not claiming any combatant deaths & not showing men killed separately, it takes statistical analysis to see through the lies. Why is media not doing basic analysis? END

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More from @Aizenberg55

Jan 24
🧵BOMBSHELL FINDING: Hamas inadvertently admits in new data release that far more men died than shown on “identified” list of fatalities, corroborating IDF claim of 20,000 combatants killed. Hamas reports 7x more fathers killed than mothers during war! Sources & analysis: 1/Image
See Hamas MoH report below. 32,152 children lost father and 4,417 lost mother. This 7.3x ratio is far higher than 2.2x adult men to woman listed on Hamas fatality list from Oct 2024. It can only mean many men killed missing from Hamas fatality list. 2/
Ratio of females age 18+ listed killed to “children who lost mothers” is almost 2:1, but for males it is 0.6:1. A staggering difference of almost 28,000 more “children who lost fathers” than a mother; this can only mean far more male fatalities not counted by Hamas. 3/ Image
Read 8 tweets
Jan 16
🧵KEY THREAD: Gaza Fatality Final Estimates:

51,600 total deaths broken down as follows:
22,600 civilians
20,000 combatants
7,000 natural deaths
2,000 deaths caused by Hamas
Civilian/combatant ratio: ~1:1

See detailed analysis after 15 months of close review:Image
Here is estimate of children & women killed in war, using Hamas’ data, but adjusting for teen combatants, infant mortality and natural deaths. Combined ~37% of total fatalities (it was never 70% or even 50%) and ~72% of civilian fatalities (this is where the 70% came from). 2/ Image
Key change to Hamas Jan 2025 total fatality numbers is adding in ~7,000 combatants to the 46,600 number that are not on any Hamas list or total count. It has been verified that Hamas by design limits reporting on combatant deaths. See combatant analysis below: 3/ Image
Read 11 tweets
Jan 12
🧵Lancet article claiming 64,000+ deaths in Gaza has many flaws, but one item in authors' final data output destroys validity of their analysis. Authors claim 52% of deaths age 45-59 are female; but Hamas' identified list of 40,700 deaths from Oct 2024 shows only 35% female. 1/Image
In Oct 2024 Hamas issued an updated “identified” fatality with age & sex detail. For age 45-59 it was 2,861 men & 1,557 women. So according to Lancet article that says overall Gaza deaths are 41% more than Hamas says, for this age range the undercount is 100% women, 0% males. 2/ Image
Lancet analysis results don't make sense. It’s undisputed that more men than women die in wars, and in Gaza in all age ranges, especially within fighting age men. Claiming 1,481 missing female deaths but zero males in this age range is inane. Authors don't address or explain. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Jan 7
🧵Arafat rejected the Clinton Parameters exactly 24 years ago in January 2001, rejecting statehood that would have ended the conflict. Every life lost since is due to Arafat saying no. Recent statements by Clinton affirms this history. Full details of offer and rejection: 1/Image
Overview: Following failed Camp David summit in Summer of 2000 and Arafat’s launch of 2nd Intifada, Clinton dictated a final set of peace terms in Dec 2000 (very brief summary below), well beyond offer at Camp David, and asked each side to say yes “within the Parameters.” 2/ Image
Israeli PM Ehud Barak and his team accepted the terms “within the Parameters.” Revisionists claim this is not true, but Clinton, Saudi Prince Bandar & key American negotiators and released documents have corroborated Israel’s acceptance. See from Clinton & Dennis Ross below: 3/ Image
Read 16 tweets
Dec 31, 2024
🧵Ireland filed document at ICJ on Dec 20 outlining how it wants definition of genocide changed, as it admitted on Dec 11 it would do. Filing effectively proves claims of genocide against Israel at ICJ and by NGOs like Amnesty are invalid. Analysis of changes Ireland wants: 1/Image
Ireland’s tactic is to join the Rhoyinga genocide case (The Gambia v Myanmar), ask the ICJ here for definitional changes, mainly in how “special intent” or dolus specialis for genocide is defined and join South Africa case v Israel with new definition to use against Israel. 2/ Image
Ireland never cared to join case vs Myanmar filed five years ago in Nov 2019. If Rhoyingas were of high concern why wait until now? Of course Ireland's sudden interest is hatred for Israel. But genocide's definition does not work for Israel, so they want to change it now. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Dec 27, 2024
🧵With 500K+ views this fake list of "Zionist arguments" requires a full debunking. Every point Shehada makes is a lie, misrepresentation, strawman, and fake history (lots of it). Detailed thread below: 1/
1. The very first claim is a lie. That “Zionist arguments” argue “we were here first.” No “Zionist” claims Jews were the first human beings in the area, this is a strawman argument fabricated by Shehada. Instead, the fact (not an "argument") is that Jews originated in the region with a 3,000 year unbroken history that included independent kingdoms. That Jewish history in the region predates Arab and Muslim history.
2. Shehada says "many" Palestinians have Canaanite DNA. The DNA of Caananites, according to research, can be found in both Jewish and Arab populations in the region, even more so in Lebanon and Jordan. (english.tau.ac.il/news/canaanites) There have not been any Caananites on earth for some 3,000 years and there is no specific or direct connection of Caananites to Palestinians or Jews or anyone else. No human on earth today can claim a direct lineage or identity to Caananites. Palestinians sometimes claim to be direct descendants of Caananites in a feeble attempt to "predate" Jews who trace back 3,000 years.
Read 16 tweets

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