Aizenberg Profile picture
Dec 22, 2023 • 7 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
🧵FAKE HAMAS CASUALTY UPDATE: Latest Hamas fatality count of ~20,000 claims at least 14,200 are women & children. If one accepts these numbers it means IDF has only killed ~840 Hamas versus latest IDF estimate of 8,000. Here is detailed analysis which shows Hamas is lying: 1/ Image
IDF yesterday said 8,000 Hamas killed which would mean only 12,000 civilians killed (assuming Hamas total number is accurate) which is 2,200 less than total women & children Hamas claims, forgetting any civilian men. Either Hamas or IDF is massively lying. 2/ Image
If one accepts Hamas women & children killed as accurate it NECESSARILY means that IDF has killed less than 1,000 combatants vs 19,000 civilians. This would mean IDF is inflating combatants killed by ~7,000 and the war is a complete failure! Do you believe this? See analysis: 3/
With 20,000 killed reported by Hamas, statistically, deaths of children women & men should roughly match population proportion of each group in Gaza. Particularly if claiming “indiscriminate bombing.” Chart below shows how many civilian men fatalities there should be: ~4,960. 4/ Image
Since Hamas is claiming 14,200 women & children killed, and civilian men killed should be ~4,960 based on proportion of civilian men in Gaza, this means what is left is only be about 840 combatants killed by IDF. The comment pasted below summarizes the conclusion. 5/ Image
Here are some of the male “civilians” of Hamas, caught on camera here planting an explosive device in a 1:31 minute video. Not a single Hamas member wears a uniform and it is certain Hamas counts them all as “civilian” while inflating women & children killed. 6/ Image
Hamas has inflated civilian deaths to absurd levels (even one is tragic but ALL for the account of Hamas). By not claiming any combatant deaths & not showing men killed separately, it takes statistical analysis to see through the lies. Why is media not doing basic analysis? END

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More from @Aizenberg55

Jul 26
🧵@airwars published report claiming Gaza fatality data by Hamas was accurate in Oct 23 and therefore reliable today. But its thesis is flawed: analysis covers only first 17 of 294 days of war with only 3,000 deaths identified, and ignores fake Al Ahli fatalities. Analysis: 1/Image
Airwars used social media, Palestinian media & NGOs to document 3,000 deaths from 17 days in Oct 23 and match them to Hamas list of 7,000 deaths, a 43% confirm rate. Nice job. But Airwars has another agenda: to bestow credibility on all of Hamas’ 39,000 claimed fatalities. 2/Image
Airwars falsely claims there is “growing consensus” Hamas numbers are accurate, but there is no such consensus and ignores wide body of research disputing Hamas data. Like article from UPenn statistics professor covering an early period of the war. 3/
tabletmag.com/sections/news/…
Read 13 tweets
Jul 25
🧵CRITICAL: Hamas reclassified hundreds of 19 year old fatalities down to 18 (and 18 to 17) to boost child deaths. Hamas issued new list of 28,185 “identified” deaths at Jun 30 with many invalid names but altered ages from its Apr 30 list. As usual, Hamas fakes data. Detail: 1/Image
Hamas' Apr 30 list had 406 fatalities aged 19, male & female. 284 of prior 19 year olds or 70% became 18 in Jun 30 list. Sample of 5 shown above. This is critical as Hamas, then UN & media, count aged 18 as “children.” This is deliberate, intended to boost child fatalities. 2/
Hamas also altered 18 year olds. They were pushed down to 17 to make sure overall age distribution made sense. 305 out of 411 aged 18 at Apr 30 got younger, down to 17 for the Jun 30 Hamas list. Sample below. 74% altered is systematic and deliberate, not an error. 3/Image
Read 6 tweets
Jul 19
🧵CRITICAL: ICJ advisory opinion DOES NOT assert Gaza is "occupied" by Israel. Contrary to media reports actual language of ICJ opinion does not state that Israel occupies Gaza. Opinion supports claim that a "physical presence" is required for an actual "occupation." Analysis: 1/Image
Clause 92 discusses the concept of a “physical presence” required for an occupation. ICJ asserts that Israel “may still bear obligations under the law of occupation” due to certain authority over Gaza – but not that Gaza is therefore “occupied.” 2/ Image
Clause 93 states that Israel is “capable of exercising… key elements of authority over the Gaza Strip” despite its withdrawal. But this alone does not mean “occupation.” ICJ’s conclusion on Gaza is in Clause 94, the final say on the matter in this ICJ advisory opinion --> 3/Image
Read 6 tweets
Jul 18
🧵@hrw issued token report after 9 months regurgitating Hamas crimes on 10/7; still charges Israel with war crimes in same report. HRW does not deny rape but will not confirm, cannot "corroborate." Other than 10/7 Hamas gets free pass. Do not legitimize this report. Analysis: 1/Image
HRW makes sure to temper criticism of Hamas with section “Aftermath of the Assault” to describe only Israeli action post 10/7 as criminal. Message: Hamas did bad things but Israel is far worse. Aftermath section absolves Hamas actions post 10/7, only this one day is covered. 2/Image
Another example “Background” section notes closure of Gaza and (fake) restriction on goods but not even 1 comment on how Hamas amassed weapons via Egypt, built 500km of tunnels, rigged civilian Gaza for combat & planned 10/7 for years. Except for 10/7, Hamas gets a free pass. 3/Image
Read 12 tweets
Jul 15
🧵Important @nytimes piece (see link below) on what we all know: systematic & massive use by Hamas of civilian Gaza as its core war doctrine. Civilian deaths in Gaza are a result of how Hamas conducts the war, not Israel. These Hamas war crimes are covered in article: 1/Image
Senior Hamas official admits to these crimes, asserting that even if weapons are stored in beds in civilian homes, it does not justify Israeli action. He believes Hamas should be able to kill Israelis with impunity and then enjoy permanent immunity by hiding among civilians. 2/Image
Hamas members justify using civilian Gaza for combat as they have no alternative. Otherwise they’ll be detected, get it? So they’re happy to, even boast about, how civilians deaths are an acceptable cost in their goal to destroy Israel. And the world indulges this insanity. 3/ Image
Read 4 tweets
Jul 10
🧵Jewish history denialism is a common form of antisemitism like this post claiming Ashkenazi Jews are Khazars. This is similar to Jewish temple denialism common in Palestinian society. Thread shows how Muslim scholars throughout history in fact acknowledged Jewish history. 1/Image
A recent and ugly example of this type of Jewish history denialism came from Pal leader Mahmoud Abbas in May 2023 during the UN commemoration of the Nakba. From Khazars to Jews "did not find anything" the goal is the same: to erase the Jewish connection to the Holy Land. 2/Image
Now the contradictions. In 1925 the “Supreme Muslim Council” under Grand Mufti Al-Husseini (who collaborated with Hitler) published A Brief Guide to Al-Haram Al-Sharif saying “Its Identity with the site of Solomon’s Temple is beyond Dispute.” 3/Image
Read 11 tweets

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