Aizenberg Profile picture
Dec 22, 2023 • 7 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
🧵FAKE HAMAS CASUALTY UPDATE: Latest Hamas fatality count of ~20,000 claims at least 14,200 are women & children. If one accepts these numbers it means IDF has only killed ~840 Hamas versus latest IDF estimate of 8,000. Here is detailed analysis which shows Hamas is lying: 1/ Image
IDF yesterday said 8,000 Hamas killed which would mean only 12,000 civilians killed (assuming Hamas total number is accurate) which is 2,200 less than total women & children Hamas claims, forgetting any civilian men. Either Hamas or IDF is massively lying. 2/ Image
If one accepts Hamas women & children killed as accurate it NECESSARILY means that IDF has killed less than 1,000 combatants vs 19,000 civilians. This would mean IDF is inflating combatants killed by ~7,000 and the war is a complete failure! Do you believe this? See analysis: 3/
With 20,000 killed reported by Hamas, statistically, deaths of children women & men should roughly match population proportion of each group in Gaza. Particularly if claiming “indiscriminate bombing.” Chart below shows how many civilian men fatalities there should be: ~4,960. 4/ Image
Since Hamas is claiming 14,200 women & children killed, and civilian men killed should be ~4,960 based on proportion of civilian men in Gaza, this means what is left is only be about 840 combatants killed by IDF. The comment pasted below summarizes the conclusion. 5/ Image
Here are some of the male “civilians” of Hamas, caught on camera here planting an explosive device in a 1:31 minute video. Not a single Hamas member wears a uniform and it is certain Hamas counts them all as “civilian” while inflating women & children killed. 6/ Image
Hamas has inflated civilian deaths to absurd levels (even one is tragic but ALL for the account of Hamas). By not claiming any combatant deaths & not showing men killed separately, it takes statistical analysis to see through the lies. Why is media not doing basic analysis? END

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More from @Aizenberg55

Apr 2
🧵Recent @TheLancet study claimed 60,000 Gaza deaths using statistical analysis on 3 fatality lists, mainly Hamas’ June 2024 list. But 881 “confirmed” June deaths were REMOVED in Hamas' Oct 2024 & March 2025 lists—invalidating study's conclusions. Review & analysis: 1/Image
Data for Lancet study was anchored on June 2024 Hamas list of 22,347 “identified” fatalities recorded only by the hospital, excluding self reports. But a comparison of these supposedly 100% confirmed deaths to Hamas' later lists shows 881 “deaths” removed—they never happened. 2/ Image
Even if removing 4% of names yields similar results (I don't know), it’s irrelevant. The core assumption—that hospital-issued deaths by Hamas are reliable—has collapsed. June 2024 list is no longer a valid data source. The authors should retract (or at least redo) the study. 3/ Image
Read 7 tweets
Mar 31
🧵BOMBSHELL: Hamas’ new March 2025 fatality list quietly drops 3,400 fully “identified” deaths listed in its Aug & Oct 2024 reports—including 1,080 children. These "deaths" never happened. The numbers were falsified—again. Examples, analysis and evidence: 1/Image
What happened? How did 1000s of supposedly confirmed, fully identified deaths just vanish? Were some actually missing persons? Sloppy records? Intentional deception? Hamas’ Ministry of Health was never reliable. Expect Hamas' many “list defenders” to come up with excuses. 2/
Fact is, from day one, Hamas has gamed the fatality data—from including 471 fake “deaths” at al-Ahli Hospital in the official count, to claiming 70% of fatalities were women & children (then quietly backing off). Managed fakery, dressed up as precision—just like in past wars. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Mar 27
🧵GAZA FATALITY UPDATE: Hamas issued new list of 50,021 fatalities. Findings: (a) Fatalities age 13-55 are 72% men (b) Teen soldiers confirmed; males=65% of deaths age 13-17 (c) Natural deaths are ~8,300 of total fatalities. (4) IDF targeted combatants; NO genocide. Analysis: 1/Image
As in prior lists, well known use by Hamas & PIJ of teen combatants as young as 13 is confirmed, with 65% of teen fatalities male. There are ~1,500 excess teen combatants recorded (Silence, of course, from so-called NGOs). Under age 10, fatalities close to 50-50 male/female. 2/ Image
At this point it is certain natural deaths & infant mortality are included in the Hamas fatality list. After 16 months, Hamas and its "Ministry of Health" does not have a hidden separate list of natural deaths. These are ~8,300 since 10/7, based on historical data for Gaza. 3/Image
Read 8 tweets
Mar 25
🧵IDF's strike on Hamas leader Ismail Barhoum at Nasser hospital was legal, in compliance with Geneva Conventions regarding protection of hospitals, distinction, proportionality & warnings. Claims that strike was illegal willfully ignore evidence and int'l law. Full analysis: 1/Image
Barhoum was in Hamas' politburo, its main decision making body directing its policy & activities. It's not just Israel who said this; EU put him under individual sanctions for "financing" Hamas “enabling their violent actions,” corroborating Israeli claims. NOT a civilian. 2/ Image
The US has Barhoum listed as a terrorist under program SDGT which is “Global Terrorism Sanctions Regulations” – he is personally listed as part of Hamas, a US designated terror org. Again, corroborating Israeli claims. 3/ sanctionssearch.ofac.treas.gov/Details.aspx?i…Image
Read 11 tweets
Mar 23
🧵Many anti-Israel biases of the Gaza fatality story are encapsulated in this article citing 50,000 killed. This is willful ignorance on the part of CNN and these journalists. Here is a review of how this article is a gross misrepresentation on many levels: 1/ Image
The Health Ministry IS Hamas. H-A-M-A-S. There is no separate independent entity. The media knows this, everyone knows this, but CNN deliberately obscures this fact. 2/ Image
"Authorities in Gaza" don't just fail to distinguish civilian & combatants, but HAMAS deliberately presents all fatalities as civilian as a core policy of disinformation to sway the media and international opinion. CNN knows this too but does not want to report it. 3/ Image
Read 8 tweets
Mar 20
🧵Hamas’ core war doctrine is the use of human shields to deter attacks against its military assets, see core elements below. Hamas supporters & apologists actively cover up for this strategy with false arguments and fake int’l law. This thread debunks 6 of these falsehoods: 1/Image
FAKE ARGUMENT 1: "Hamas does not force or direct civilians to shield their military so they don't use human shields." This fake argument misrepresents international law. Geneva says upfront, merely the "presence” of civilians, even if they are unware, violates laws of war. Image
FAKE ARGUMENT 2: This strange argument was used recently by @peterbeinart, it goes like this: “Everyone does it so who can really fault Hamas. Do you really expect them to adhere to laws of war?" No, we do not. But then the blame for civilian deaths is on Hamas, not Israel. Image
Read 7 tweets

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