Richard Vereker Profile picture
Tracking Russian military equipment losses, Visualising and analyzing how that evolves in charts. Contributor to 'Tracking Russia’s losses' website.

Apr 6, 2024, 8 tweets

Has Russia run out of ammunition for 2 of its Self Propelled Guns? There have been no visually confirmed losses of either the 203mm 2S7 or the 152mm 2S5 Gianstat-S since December almost 100 days ago. 🧵1/n

This is the same graph but without the 3-month average. the last loss of each was on the 30 and 31st of December 2023, though there was a damaged 2S5 6 days after that. 2/n

Graph of guns (Towed & SPG) by ammunition type. There are no towed 203mm guns, but the last towed 'Giatsint' the 2A36 was back in October. These types of guns have their own ammunition type, neither was that popular on the export market. 3/n

Accurate information from Russia is not always available, but I don't think either type was being made at the start and is unlikely to have restarted. If Russia could open new ammunition production, they are more likely to prioritise their standard 152mm and 120mm types. 4/n

I don't know the accurate numbers for Russian artillery but rough estimates are 14-19 million in storage at the start, 2.5 mil made in Russia, 2 mil imported for NK and Belarusian, 18 mil used or destroyed, so this is about the time to expect types not being made to run out. 4/n

Table of data from a 🧵by @HighMarsed I know there is talk of 'barrels' Barrels are not the same as 'guns' but there are still plenty of satellite images of 100s of these weapons in storage, most still have barrels attached. So I think it is more likely to be Ammunition 5/n

@HighMarsed This is the data table of all 654 Russian Lost SPGs. and it comes from data made available by @WarSpotting There have also been no 122mm 2S23 & 2S34, in that time, but these were only in small numbers anyway. 6/6 Ends

Sorry everybody, in the time it took me to wright that 🧵Russia has been visually confirmed to have lost a 2S5, talk about timing!

ukr.warspotting.net/view/25493/142…

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