Kursk Counter-Invasion Day 8 Update
13 AUG 2024 17:30 PDT
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Total area: 1,059.3 sq km
Breach: 73.4 km
Depth: up to 28.0 km
🟧Ukraine control: 769.5 sq km
🟨Russian claimed/gray area: 289.8 sq km
🏁Ukrainian presence
💥Claimed fighting
🔴Russian presence
1/n
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The Russian Ukraine War Report Podcast for August 13, 2024, is live
You can also use our interactive war map
Kursk
2/n
link.chtbl.com/rusukrwar
google.com/maps/d/u/0/vie…
Tetkino AO
Ukrainian Air Force is conducting sorties in Russia, using AASM HAMMER and JDAM-ER glide bombs. Tetkino was hit by airstrikes.
Claims that Ukraine liberated Korovyakovskaya Sosh are false. Don't go after the OP who did the geo; they didn't know.
Kursk
2/n
Korenevo AO
Fighting continues in eastern Korenevo.
Russian reports of fighting in Tolpino continue. New reports of fighting in or near Garilovka, Aleksandrovka, and Vetreno; moved to Russian claims.
No geo yet to confirm Olgovka is liberated.
Kursk
3/n
Korenevo AO
New reports of fighting in Gordeevka, which we believe is under Ukrainian control, but no intel to support. Expanded gray area to Troitskoe and Byakhovo.
Satellite imagery shows fires in northern Snagost, adjusted the area of Ukrainian controlled.
Kursk
4/n
Lgov Operational Direction
New geos of Ukrainian forces near Otradnoye, Semenovka, and west of Kromskie Byki.
Last week, we assessed that Ukraine was using the backroads parallel to the Sudzha-Lgov Highway as GLOC instead of the highway. highly likely, keep reading
Kursk
5/n
Lgov Operational Direction
Based on a week of geos and using terrain analysis, we coded everything on the Ukrainian GLOC from Kauchuk south as liberated.
Ukrainian forces have used the GLOC to head east to Kromskie Byki, Durovo-Bobrik, and Isakovka
Kursk
6/n
Lgov Operational Direction
Chechen is northern Malaya Loknya get blasted. Given the geo, we moved Pogrebki, Marevka, Orlovka, Novaya Sorochina, and Staraya Sorochina to Russian controlled.
We assess unlikely Ukraine using Sudzha-Lgov Hwy as GLOC given the new intel.
Kursk
7/n
Sudzha AO
Ukrainian forces confirmed fighting in Berdin. Based on geos and multiple reports, Martynovka moved to Ukrainian liberated (again). Kruglik moved to Russian claimed, and fighting marked in Berdin.
Kursk
8/n
Sudzha AO
We have our doubts about Russian claims of Ukrainian troops in Bolshoe Soldatskoe and the capture of Kukui, as it's the administrative seat of the Bolshesoldatsky District of Kursk. Mandatory evac was ordered today. Doubt is not enough to change map.
Kursk
9/n
Sudzha AO
Yesterday, we pulled back Ukraine west of Russkoe Porechnoe as there had been no geos since Aug 8, and we were almost the lone voice. And, of course, there's a new geo today in the area of Russkoe Porechnoe.
We moved the area back to liberated.
Kursk
10/n
Sudzha AO
Yesterday, we broke our own rules when we moved Dmitriukov to Russian controlled. Do we have a pic showing Ukrainian forces in settlement? Yes. Did Russia release pic to back up their claim? No.
Multiple sources report under Ukrainian control, moved back.
Kursk
11/n
Sudzha AO
Russian sources report Ukraine liberated Kolmakov. We coded the area as Russian claimed.
Kursk
12/n
Belaya AO
Large Ukrainian presence in Plekhovo. Russian sources report fighting on the western edge of Kamyshoe. Yesterday, reports of Ukraine liberating Borki and Spalnoe aligned with today's reports and the ambush in Giri. Moved Ukrainian controlled to Krupets.
Kursk
13/n
Kursk - Analysis
"Journalist" assessment that Russia won't risk an offensive in Budzha due to the risk of damaging the Gazprom Budzha gas compressor and metering station was poorly researched. Russia is bombing its own infrastructure.
14/n
Kursk - Errors and Omissions
On August 11, we reported the E-38 Hwy Bridge over the Seym River in Rylsk had been damaged by a Ukrainian strike. The geo was wrong. The bridge is east of Glushkovo. We appreciate your understanding. The truth matters.
15/n
Did you know that our map is interactive and has layers? Well, now you do. If you use our map for news stories or social media, we kindly ask for an @. Analyst work and journalism are literally how we pay the bills.
Kursk
16/n
Our resources and channels:
13 August 2024 Russia-Ukraine War Report Podcast (produced in Kyiv)
12 August 2024 Situation Report
Russia-Ukraine War Map
Retweets appreciated
Kursk
17/17 FINlink.chtbl.com/rusukrwar
patreon.com/posts/russia-u…
google.com/maps/d/u/0/vie…
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