Malcontent News Profile picture
Aug 14, 2024 18 tweets 10 min read Read on X
Kursk Counter-Invasion Day 8 Update
13 AUG 2024 17:30 PDT
Retweet appreciated

Total area: 1,059.3 sq km
Breach: 73.4 km
Depth: up to 28.0 km
🟧Ukraine control: 769.5 sq km
🟨Russian claimed/gray area: 289.8 sq km
🏁Ukrainian presence
💥Claimed fighting
🔴Russian presence

1/n


Image
Image
Image
Image
Did you miss our last update?

The Russian Ukraine War Report Podcast for August 13, 2024, is live


You can also use our interactive war map

Kursk
2/n
link.chtbl.com/rusukrwar
google.com/maps/d/u/0/vie…
Tetkino AO

Ukrainian Air Force is conducting sorties in Russia, using AASM HAMMER and JDAM-ER glide bombs. Tetkino was hit by airstrikes.

Claims that Ukraine liberated Korovyakovskaya Sosh are false. Don't go after the OP who did the geo; they didn't know.

Kursk
2/n

Image
Image
Image
Korenevo AO

Fighting continues in eastern Korenevo.

Russian reports of fighting in Tolpino continue. New reports of fighting in or near Garilovka, Aleksandrovka, and Vetreno; moved to Russian claims.

No geo yet to confirm Olgovka is liberated.

Kursk
3/n Image
Korenevo AO

New reports of fighting in Gordeevka, which we believe is under Ukrainian control, but no intel to support. Expanded gray area to Troitskoe and Byakhovo.

Satellite imagery shows fires in northern Snagost, adjusted the area of Ukrainian controlled.

Kursk
4/n
Image
Image
Lgov Operational Direction

New geos of Ukrainian forces near Otradnoye, Semenovka, and west of Kromskie Byki.

Last week, we assessed that Ukraine was using the backroads parallel to the Sudzha-Lgov Highway as GLOC instead of the highway. highly likely, keep reading

Kursk
5/n Image
Lgov Operational Direction

Based on a week of geos and using terrain analysis, we coded everything on the Ukrainian GLOC from Kauchuk south as liberated.

Ukrainian forces have used the GLOC to head east to Kromskie Byki, Durovo-Bobrik, and Isakovka

Kursk
6/n Image
Lgov Operational Direction

Chechen is northern Malaya Loknya get blasted. Given the geo, we moved Pogrebki, Marevka, Orlovka, Novaya Sorochina, and Staraya Sorochina to Russian controlled.

We assess unlikely Ukraine using Sudzha-Lgov Hwy as GLOC given the new intel.

Kursk
7/n
Image
Image
Sudzha AO

Ukrainian forces confirmed fighting in Berdin. Based on geos and multiple reports, Martynovka moved to Ukrainian liberated (again). Kruglik moved to Russian claimed, and fighting marked in Berdin.

Kursk
8/n Image
Sudzha AO

We have our doubts about Russian claims of Ukrainian troops in Bolshoe Soldatskoe and the capture of Kukui, as it's the administrative seat of the Bolshesoldatsky District of Kursk. Mandatory evac was ordered today. Doubt is not enough to change map.

Kursk
9/n

Image
Image
Image
Sudzha AO

Yesterday, we pulled back Ukraine west of Russkoe Porechnoe as there had been no geos since Aug 8, and we were almost the lone voice. And, of course, there's a new geo today in the area of Russkoe Porechnoe.

We moved the area back to liberated.

Kursk
10/n Image
Sudzha AO

Yesterday, we broke our own rules when we moved Dmitriukov to Russian controlled. Do we have a pic showing Ukrainian forces in settlement? Yes. Did Russia release pic to back up their claim? No.

Multiple sources report under Ukrainian control, moved back.

Kursk
11/n Image
Sudzha AO

Russian sources report Ukraine liberated Kolmakov. We coded the area as Russian claimed.

Kursk
12/n Image
Belaya AO

Large Ukrainian presence in Plekhovo. Russian sources report fighting on the western edge of Kamyshoe. Yesterday, reports of Ukraine liberating Borki and Spalnoe aligned with today's reports and the ambush in Giri. Moved Ukrainian controlled to Krupets.

Kursk
13/n Image
Kursk - Analysis

"Journalist" assessment that Russia won't risk an offensive in Budzha due to the risk of damaging the Gazprom Budzha gas compressor and metering station was poorly researched. Russia is bombing its own infrastructure.

14/n

Kursk - Errors and Omissions

On August 11, we reported the E-38 Hwy Bridge over the Seym River in Rylsk had been damaged by a Ukrainian strike. The geo was wrong. The bridge is east of Glushkovo. We appreciate your understanding. The truth matters.



15/n

Image
Image
Did you know that our map is interactive and has layers? Well, now you do. If you use our map for news stories or social media, we kindly ask for an @. Analyst work and journalism are literally how we pay the bills.

Kursk
16/n

Image
Image
Image
Our resources and channels:

13 August 2024 Russia-Ukraine War Report Podcast (produced in Kyiv)


12 August 2024 Situation Report

Russia-Ukraine War Map

Retweets appreciated

Kursk
17/17 FINlink.chtbl.com/rusukrwar
patreon.com/posts/russia-u…
google.com/maps/d/u/0/vie…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Malcontent News

Malcontent News Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @MalcontentmentT

Nov 7
To answer question one, does Russia have the funds to restart nuclear warhead testing?

Yes.

And if Moscow decides to do it, it will also mean that Russia will be moving faster toward the collapse of its federal budget.

Testing nukes is very expensive.

1/25 Image
To answer question two, is Russia and/or China carrying out nuclear warhead testing as claimed by the Trump admin?

Possibly.

You can test nuclear weapons in a way that doesn't require setting off an actual multi-kiloton warhead, like North Korea has in the 21st century.

2/25 Image
Some of these tests don't violate the moratorium treaty.

The US conducted three subcritical nuclear weapons tests during the Biden administration from 2021 to 2024.

The tests were conducted at the Principal Underground Lab for Subcritical Experimentation in Nevada by the NNSA.

3/25Image
Read 26 tweets
Oct 2
Last year, I wrote an analysis of Trump vs. Putin. I concluded there were two absolutes for both men.

1) Both hate hearing "no."

2) Both hate disloyalty.

When I wrote that analysis, I predicted they were on a collision course due to their egos and motivations.

1/16
As spring turned into summer, my hope faded as Trump repeatedly gave Putin "two weeks" despite it being painfully obvious that Witkoff was not the right guy to speak on behalf of the White House, and Putin was stringing Trump along.

2/16
There were flashes of improvement following the disastrous White House meeting on February 28. Trump and Zelenskyy meeting at the Vatican on April 26. The White House seeing through Putin's cynical "ceasefire" offer for Moscow's Victory Day Parade. Anger at the Palm Sunday attack on Sumy.

3/16
Read 16 tweets
Sep 10
With Zapad-2025 just 3 days away, it would be foolish to dismiss tonight's airspace violations into Poland as "accidental" and not representing a threat.

This is not to say that Russia is planning to attack Poland using Zapad-2025 as a cover.

Military doctrine 101 teaches that a provocation this close to the start of major wargames on a nation's border should be viewed as a significant threat, and appropriate preventative measures should be taken.

1/9
It is extremely alarming that full ground stops were issued at Lublin and Rzeszów airports, as both are major logistics hubs for military aid into Ukraine. Rzeszów is also a major U.S. logistics hub for Eastern Europe. This is in addition to the ground stops at Warsaw and Modlin.

2/9
Tonight represents the sixth time Polish airspace has been violated since 20 August, with a clear pattern of escalation.

The incident, which some U.S. and European officials are openly calling an "act of war," comes less than a month after autocrat Vladimir Putin visited President Donald Trump in Alaska, claiming to seek peace.

3/9
Read 9 tweets
Aug 13
Apparently, who feeds America needs to be explained to people. There is nuance.

1/20
Not all undocumented workers are exploited by their employers and paid slave wages. Many are paid a fair and legal wage. Some workers commit the crime of using the social security numbers of dead people and other individuals. Some of those workers are even assisted by their employers.

2/20
Legally documented workers here on visas with conditional social security numbers for work are treated like their citizen peers. Additionally, they are here legally, with a work permit.

3/20
Read 20 tweets
Jul 17
It will cost Russia as much, if not more, to service the bonds currently being sold versus what the bonds are raising for the government in the short term.

Breaking the Russian economy is the path to peace.

1/21
As of July 11, the Kremlin was running a deficit of over 5 trillion rubles, almost double the available funds remaining in the wealth fund. April's tax receipts did little to improve the situation. This is a ticking bomb on a short fuse.

2/21
The Kremlin has been forced to nationalize industries, claim questionable wealth from oligarchs using even more questionable reasons, and continue to force companies to convert their foreign currency deposit accounts into rubles to prop up the currency.

3/21
Read 21 tweets
Jul 14
A surprisingly lucid doom post from the Telegram channel Veteran's Notes (Notes of a Veteran) from 13 July:

"No one is thinking of recognizing the new territories included in the Constitution of the Russian Federation..."

1/12 Image
...Even if the Russian Federation now abandons Kherson and [Zaporizhzhia] and agrees to conclude a deal on the front line at the moment, no one will recognize the liberated territories, including Crimea, as Russian lands...

2/12
...Any agreements now are, at most, a freeze on the conflict for a respite, to re-equip and rearm the Ukrainian Armed Forces, to take revenge, and even try to inflict a military defeat on Russia again in the future...

3/12
Read 12 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(