🧵1 of 8 | PMC Dashboard, April 21, 2025 (U.S.)
🌤️Only 1 in 5 days of the pandemic have seen transmission as low as today
🌤️1 in 196 actively infectious
⚡️BUT still 1.7 million weekly infections, resulting in >85,000 LC cases and up to 1,000 deaths
I'll walk you through it...
🧵2 of 8 | PMC Dashboard, April 21, 2025 (U.S.)
We're in the 6th year. See the small red line, bottom left. Notice how closely it tracks the median (gray), year 4 (yellow), & year 5 (orange).
Acknowledging caveats, those are plausible gist-level scenarios for months ahead.
🧵3 of 8 | PMC Dashboard, April 21, 2025 (U.S.)
Expect steady transmission bouncing up and down around the current national lull-level estimate the next several weeks. 200-350k daily infections nationally.
This is about as low as lulls bottom out anymore.
🧵4 of 8 | PMC Dashboard, April 21, 2025 (U.S.)
🌤️Moderate Transmission: 9 states + DC
☀️High/Very High: None
Note, the CDC updated its dashboard as usual Friday BUT w/no state-level data. This previously warranted a note. None offered. Fortunately, the 3-day blackout is over.
🧵5 of 8 | PMC Dashboard, April 21, 2025 (U.S.)
Yes, a national "lull" but always with regional variation.
☀️1 in 240 in the West actively infectious
🌩️1 in 118 in the South (worse)
In Louisiana, it's still at about 1 in 90, using the PMC multiplier. 🌩️🌩️
🧵6 of 8 | PMC Dashboard, April 21, 2025 (U.S.)
It might surprise you to learn that up to 1,000 Americans would be expected to die from the COVID infections they get this week -- during a transmission lull!
I guess you have not watched this video.
🧵7 of 8 | PMC Dashboard, April 21, 2025 (U.S.)
If I have persuaded you to watch that 15-min video. Perhaps, you would be willing to go one step further.
🔴🔵
Watch this 50-min deep dive on where we are headed as reinfections accumulate.
🧵8 of 8 | PMC Dashboard, April 21, 2025 (U.S.)
Find the complete dashboard at
Use/improve and share across platforms. In the report (pg. 2), I note the CDC is making wastewater analytic ethics decisions via AI. 😮 More on that later. pmc19.com/data
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