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Decoding LongWave Economic Cycles & Forecasting Market Trends. Historian & Macroeconomist Navigating Social, Political, & tech shifts. #Kondratiff #Schumpeter

Jun 26, 11 tweets

Toronto Housing vs Gold: The Shocking Truth ๐Ÿงต

๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ’ฐ THREAD:

I analyzed 20 years of CREA MLS data and what I found will blow your mind...

Toronto home prices in GOLD reveal the biggest monetary illusion of our time.

The Numbers:๐Ÿ“Š 2005: $335k = 558 oz of gold

๐Ÿ“Š 2022 PEAK: $1.27M = 267 oz of gold

๐Ÿ“Š 2025: $1M = 217 oz of gold

That's a 61% COLLAPSE in real purchasing power!
๐Ÿคฏ

Toronto Real Estate Prices in Gold ๐Ÿ‘‡

Wait, but didn't home prices TRIPLE?

Yes, in Canadian dollars:

2005: $335k CAD

2022 Peak: $1.27M CAD (+279%!)

2025: $1M CAD (+199%)

But here's the monetary earthquake... ๐Ÿ’ธ

Gold revealed the REAL story:

2005: $600 CAD/oz

2022: $4,755 CAD/oz

2025: $4,613 CAD/oz (+668%!)

Gold didn't "go up" - the Canadian dollar collapsed through massive credit expansion! ๐Ÿ“‰

The Bank of Canada inflated M2 money supply by ~300% since 2005! ๐Ÿฆ

The 2022 peak was peak delusion ๐ŸŽข

At $1.27M, that house was "worth" only 267 oz of gold - ALREADY a 52% real decline from 2005!

Today at $1M, it's down 61% in real terms.

The "wealth" was always a monetary mirage! ๐Ÿœ๏ธ

Even MORE shocking:

A $335k house that cost 558 oz of gold in 2005 now costs only 217 oz at $1M.

Homeowners lost over HALF their purchasing power even during the biggest "boom" in history! ๐Ÿ“‰

The nominal gains masked devastating real losses.

This is textbook Kondratieff Wave economics ๐ŸŒŠ

We witnessed the final phase of the 4th wave's credit super-cycle:

2005-2015: Credit expansion phase

2016-2022: Mania/blow-off top

2022-now: Early winter/deflation begins

Real estate bubbles ALWAYS precede Kondratieff winters โ„๏ธ

The socioeconomic forces were powerful ๐Ÿ‘ฅ

Social media amplified FOMO and wealth signaling

Ultra-low rates made speculation feel "safe"

Immigration created artificial scarcity narrative

Financial illiteracy masked currency debasement

But it was ALL built on credit expansion, not real wealth creation! ๐Ÿ’ธ

The brutal mathematical truth:

$335k โ†’ $1M looks like incredible wealth creation (+199%)

558oz โ†’ 217oz reveals devastating purchasing power destruction (-61%)

Even the "peak" at $1.27M meant you'd already lost 52% of your real wealth! ๐Ÿ“Š

What's next in Kondratieff winter? โ„๏ธ

Continued credit contraction

Asset prices deflating toward sound money values

The great repricing back to real fundamentals

Currency debasement chickens coming home to roost

Gold holders understood monetary history.

Paper asset holders got schooled. ๐Ÿ“š

The greatest "real estate boom" in Canadian history was actually a 61% wealth destruction event when measured in honest money (#Gold).

$1M homes that used to cost 558oz now cost 217oz.

The gains were pure monetary illusion.

Currency debasement โ‰  wealth creation.

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