What does EAM Jaishankar's visit to China mean?
India is flying Dalai Lama in IAF plane to Ladakh.
India is negotiating Trade deal without getting under any tariff deadline feature.
India has set the BRICS 2025 Agenda.
Trump Tantrums are not going well.
West has already surrendered to Extremism.
De-dollarisation happening faster than ever.
India and China are only two economic hotspots.
India is moving from balancing powers to becoming the one.
Who will dominate it?
Read this till end:
Something is shifting in the global balance of power. While the West struggles with inflation, extremism, and war fatigue, India is rising as a stable, pragmatic, and assertive voice in global affairs.
In the last 6 months, India has played a central role in defense, trade, diplomacy, and conflict resolution—with strategic outreach to the US, China, Russia, EU, and the Global South.
What is India doing with China?
India’s strategy with China is now very different than before . In early 2025, India resumed the Kailash Mansarovar Yatra and restored Delhi–Lhasa flights—seemingly thawing ties.
Simultaneously, it hosted Tibet-linked cultural events and raised border concerns through diplomatic backchannels.
India’s NSA and EAM met Chinese top officials but stuck to “status quo is not peace” doctrine.
India is making it clear: peace is possible, but not on China’s unilateral terms. By mixing religious diplomacy with realpolitik, India is keeping its options open—dialogue without dilution.
The Hard Bargain: India–US Trade Negotiations
India is playing tough on trade—rightfully so.
As Trump pushes an Aug 1 tariff hike deadline, India has refused to buckle under pressure.
Instead, it's pushing a “low-hanging fruit” interim deal, focused on tariff reductions in chemicals, textiles, and electronics—but leaving out dairy and agriculture to protect farmers.
Sources say Washington may cap tariffs below 20% (down from 26%) just to secure a deal.
If this goes through, India's export sectors—especially MSMEs—could see a 0.3–0.5% GDP boost. It’s strategic negotiation, not surrender, rooted in domestic strength.
India and the United States have quietly upgraded their defense and trade relationship.
In July 2025, both sides finalized a new 10-year defense framework, expanding joint exercises, tech transfers, and arms sales.
India, already operating US platforms like C-130Js, Apaches, and P-8Is, is negotiating the purchase of Javelin anti-tank missiles and Stryker armored vehicles.
This is not mere buying—it’s about joint production and tech access. Strategically, India is shifting from being a buyer to being a co-developer, aligning with the U.S. Indo-Pacific vision while safeguarding its autonomy.
Failure of Trump Tantrums:
Trump has not been able to close any of the trade deal as of now if you keep aside few smaller ones.
Manufacturing not coming back to US.
Peace brokering not working in Ukraine -Russia war.
For him there is nothing to show apart from false claim of Ind-Pak war and Congo conflict.
India is making most of it at the trade negotiation table.
India–EU: Quiet Progress on a Crucial Front
While media attention often tilts toward US or China, India’s trade negotiations with the European Union may be its most important long-term bet.
In May 2025, both sides agreed to fast-track a comprehensive FTA. Five key chapters—IP, customs, sustainability, and dispute resolution—are already closed. Talks now focus on digital trade, services, and data flow.
This could unlock billions in new investments, diversify India’s export markets, and make it a tech-manufacturing alternative to China.
Quietly but surely, India is stitching a new trade architecture in the West.
India–Russia: Silent Strength and Smart Strategy
Crude oil import reached to 40% of total import from Russia.
Defence ties are growing at unprecedented rate. India is looking for joint production of S-500 and there are talks for Su-57 customized to India's needs.
Do You observe the balance ? India is acting like boss here with every group.
India’s Global South Push: Voice of the Majority
India is not just talking to power—it’s speaking for the powerless. At the BRICS Summit in Brazil, Modi called for local-currency trade and a Global South-led development bank.
He announced a vaccine hub in Ghana, met diaspora in Trinidad, and held lithium talks with Argentina.
India’s G20 presidency laid the foundation; now its Global South diplomacy is deepening.
This isn’t charity—it’s long-term positioning. By leading emerging markets, India isn’t just another voice at the global table—it’s building the table itself.
WTO, UK FTA, and India’s new trade playbook.
India’s UK Free Trade Agreement (signed May 2025) is its broadest yet—covering goods, services, mobility, and mutual recognition of standards. It’s a model for future pacts.
At the WTO, India is doubling down—blocking moves that harm farmers, resisting developed nations’ pressure to drop its developing-country status. With global trade rules under flux, India is no longer a passive player.
It’s shaping outcomes to protect domestic priorities while opening strategic sectors. Trade is not just commerce—it’s geopolitics. And India is proving that it can balance protectionism with purposeful liberalization.
Defense: India’s military modernization accelerates.
India is rapidly upgrading its defense capabilities. Over the past year, it procured Apache helicopters, P-8I patrol aircraft, and the Russian S-400 system.
Indigenous production is booming—defense exports have grown 34× in a decade, and India now exports to over 85 countries.
Joint exercises like Malabar with the US, Japan, and Australia enhance readiness and signal intent in the Indo-Pacific.
With a focus on deterrence, surveillance, and rapid response, India isn’t preparing for war—it’s preparing to avoid one by strengthening credibility. And in modern geopolitics, credibility is deterrence.
India’s balancing act on Ukraine and Gaza.
In both Ukraine and Gaza, India has taken a principled neutrality stance. It abstained from the UN's Feb 2025 Ukraine ceasefire resolution and declined to back a US-led ‘Path to Peace’ draft.
In June, it abstained again on a Gaza ceasefire resolution—its 4th abstention in 3 years.
Critics see ambiguity, but it’s strategic non-alignment—India urges dialogue while avoiding entanglement.
This careful calibration maintains ties with the West, Russia, and the Arab world. In a world of binary choices, India remains unbought and unbullied.
Conclusion: From balancing power to becoming one.
In the last 6 months, India has shown it can deepen ties with the US without isolating Russia, talk trade with the EU while standing up to the WTO, engage China without compromising on Tibet, and lead the Global South without echoing China.
It is no longer a swing state—it is a swing force. Strategic autonomy is no longer a slogan—it’s a playbook. And in the emerging multipolar order,
India is not choosing sides—it’s being chosen by all. The world isn’t tilting East or West anymore—it’s turning towards India.
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