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Aug 7, 7 tweets

The PCR positivity map is out.

National positivity has rebounded very suddenly to the highest level it's been all year.

It looks like most areas are seeing the yoyo effect this week.



1/7 jamestindall.info/skeuomorpholog…

The upturn has been particularly sudden and sharp, from 5.9 to 7.26% over the last week.

We haven't seen sudden & rapid growth like this since the autumn wave last year.

12% of areas aren't reporting, so 7.26% is an underestimate.

2/7

Cornwall, Devon, Somerset, Dorset, Bath are all climbing rapidly.

The outlier is Plymouth at 28.99%, on a reliable level of testing.

Further east along the south coast there's a lot of non-reporting, but Portsmouth & W Sussex are on 12/13%.

3/7

Shropshire also tests reliably, and has shot up to 17.65%.

You can see the rebound hitting Birmingham, Leicester, Derby... but not Coventry, which is possibly benefiting from its lack of touristic magnetism.

4/7

Manchester's the 2nd outlier on 25%, but on poor testing.

If high levels of natural immunity were actually a thing, @UKHSA, this part of the north should have superimmunity.

But Sheffield, Leeds, Bradford, Doncaster, Bolton are all bouncing up yet again.

5/7

@UKHSA Not much reporting on Tyneside, but Teesside, Durham, Cumbria, which have just been having a large wave, are seeing yet another spike.

20% in Stockton-on-Tees is higher even than the autumn wave last year.

6/7

@UKHSA There's a lot going on this week across the map.

Please do use it to check your area and, if you're not sure what you're seeing, do ask me!

We'll have to wait to see, but that sharp upswing doesn't look like just school holidays to me.

7/7

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