Thread by @deepdownanlyz

India is going to broker peace between Russia and Ukraine.

But EU doesn't want it to happen.

Read this thread till the end.

Did you read the news "Modi didn't answer Trump's multiple call"?

It was reported by a German media house FAZ.

Why did European media so desperately published it?

Govt sources could have leaked this "Bold Posturing of Modi" to Indian media.

Geo Politics is now a 3D Chessboard and ...

50% Tariff by Trump on India has started.

But along with this there are few more pieces are moving on global chessboard.

1. Trump has recently met EU , Ukraine, Putin for a peace deal
2. Modi Meeting President Putin in China
3. Ukraine President Zelensky is planning visit to India
4. European super powers are not comfortable with Ukraine war coming to stop
5. President Putin's India visit is being planned out.

If we look at...

... these events closely, there is a clear indication:

Trump wants Ukraine war to end quickly. But it wont happen just by Trump pursuing and putting pressure on Putin. Putin can't simply project that he went for peace because of a US President.

To make this happen, India and Modi has to be the name which Putin can highlight as mediator for the peace deal.

To make this happen, Putin's meeting with Modi in China on the sidelines of SCO meet followed by Zelensky and Putin's plan to visit India separately are lined up.

But two questions must be coming to your mind :
1. Why Trump pressuring India with Tariff?
2. Who want Peace and who doesn't?

I will answer 2nd question first:

Trump want war to end and EU wants war to continue.

Here is the reason:
Trump's primary reason to end the war is to get $16 trillion worth rare earth mineral extraction contract in Ukraine as well as trillion dollar reconstruction opportunity.

So he wants it to happen before end of his presidency.

As soon as war will be over sanaction over Russia will be lifted. More countries will do trade with Russia and in due course of time the currency won't be dollar as this tariff war is pushing countries for local currency trade or crypto currency trade. Again a money making opportunity for Trump's WLF crypto fund.

But EU...

... has already invested $200 bn+ in Ukraine including:
1. $45 Bn official loan
2. $100 Bn worth of economic package and other aids
3. $55 bn worth of arms, ammos and trainings

And Ukraine war has kept their economies afloat amid noise of recessions and slowdowns.

EU superpowers like France UK Germany are looking at it a high return opportunity when this war ends and Ukraine will start paying back loans and giving access to its resources to European partners.

But EU doesn't want war to end so soon because right now it will be Trump making most out of it.

For Zelensky, war is the guarantee of his presidency otherwise his elected term is over.

Here comes the major twist....

Since second world war to the fall of Soviet, UK France Germany Italy etc had been closest strategic military ally for US.

European powers enjoyed great comfort. Even India got under numerous sanctions, threats and so on since 1947 to 1999 from US. But India never bowed down.

India US relations started to change in 2000 when US realized the major threat is not Russia anymore but it is China and to answer that they need a strategic ally in India.

India is the only military power in the region standing up to Chinese strength.
US Prez Bill Clinton made 5 days state visit to India.

And Europe continued to lose the importance and India's continued to rise.

Later QUAD was formed with JAPAN, INDIA, AUSTRALIA to counter Chinese influence.

Cut to 2025...

Trump's tariff was no surprise to the world because his whole campaign was based on it.

But all experts predicted India would get most favourable deal among all given India's importance and Modi-Trump relations.

50% Tariff took the world by surprise given India is not the largest buyer.

For Trump, EU is also not the favourable group. He hates EU more than any other country or even BRICS because EU powers are blocking his way to Ukraine.

So when EU sensed

...that India would be playing the key role in making Putin and Zelensky talk and get this war to closure. EU is sabotaging it by hurting Trump's ego with this kind of report.

Why: Trump's fundamental working style has been Ego and Arm twisting. India didn't fall for any.

But at a crucial juncture when message passing between Modi Trump Putin would be key, hurting Trump's ego by this kind of report will further delay Russia Ukraine peace deal.

EU just wants to create more distance, delay Peace deal and try to get sympathy of US which it has lost over the period of time and so much more under Trump.

Now you will have 2nd question:
If India is so important for Trump to get this Ukraine thing why he is putting so much of tariff on India:

There are multiple reasons:

1. Trump's India tariff is to amuse Pakistan to get the rare earth minerals ...

extraction rights in Khyber Pakhtunwa region ahead of China. Asim Munir has already started displacement of locals by force.

2. It acts as great distraction at home for Trump who promised so much to MAGA crowd but nothing happening in real. No deal in Russia, no major market opening for dairy and farmers etc.

3. He wanted to create example of China but China can crash US economy in a day so India was next best option.

3. Tariff on India will make all other groups anxious of using dollar and depending on US for trade. India has one of the most efficient financial infrastructure. India can show the world how to avoid dollar for trade.

It will fastrack de-dollarization. Crypto will be the the centre of trade in coming years and ultimating

Summary:

India is centre of geo political chessboard.

Trump wants access to Ukraine ASAP.

EU want war to continue for many reasons explained.

Russia-Ukraine war will come to stop with India being one of the key mediators.

EU wants to sabotage this process by creating unwanted rift and distance by hurting Trump's ego.

Meanwhile India is setting example for the world how to navigate Tariff wars and use alternate methods for trade.

The leak wasn’t from Govt of India but EU media’s sources in White House to create further rift between Modi and Trump

TO MAKE IT CLEAR: It wasn't Govt of India which gave byte to German media .

They got this information from their own sources and publish it to create further rift between India and US.