The Russian army is facing a gasoline shortage in the occupied regions of Ukraine. About two weeks ago, a shortage of gasoline at gas stations began, and sales to private individuals were restricted. However, the Russian army in these areas often uses civilian gas stations,
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frequently even refueling at its own expense. The reason is constant Ukrainian strikes on logistics. When a fuel truck arrives at the rear, a rush and crowd form, which Ukrainian reconnaissance drones detect and coordinate strikes on. On top of this, there are frequent cases
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of fuel theft and resale on the black market. Resellers take advantage of the gasoline shortage and sell “under the table” for more than 200 rubles per liter, while the usual price at gas stations is 60–70 rubles per liter. The occupation authorities happily integrated into
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the system of fuel theft and resale, and the situation is only worsening. A diesel fuel shortage has emerged, even though everyone thought there was enough diesel and problems should not arise. Starting in the distant regions, the fuel crisis has already reached Moscow.
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This is a good trend. The faster the center is paralyzed, the higher the chance of stopping the entire Russian military machine. As has been said many times, Ukraine strikes at the most vulnerable spot and will continue to do so. Russian dissatisfaction with how the “special
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military operation” is going is growing. First of all, on the front - Tatarigami published an excellent thread analyzing the increasing cases of desertion in the Russian army. This is not directly related to the fuel crisis, but it is another indicator that the war is going
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completely off plan for Russia. Russians always have a big problem in that they are willing to endure humiliation and torture to the last. They have no concept of civil society; they do not take to the streets in protest, and if they do, they are unable to truly unite with
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a force that authorities would have to reckon with. But Russians care greatly about the false sense of greatness - that their country is the coolest in the world. It is important for them that everyone fears and respects them, and above all, that they have a strong leader.
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When they realize that they have been terribly deceived in this and have received a severe beating from the Ukrainians, who, without nuclear weapons, a fleet, or aviation, managed to halve and block the Black Sea Fleet, destroy half of Russia’s strategic aviation,
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and deprive the country of fuel - then some action from the Russians may be expected. The Russian army is losing fuel and personnel, and this process is accelerating. It is far from over, but it is rapidly approaching.
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