Thread by @deepdownanlyz

Operation Sindoor 2.0 Loading....

It won't be a military action.

It won't be about POJK.

Neither it will be a reactive measure.

Read this thread till the end as there many connecting dots to understand.

This time, it will be of the people, by the people, for the..

.... people of Pakistan.

Asim Munir is heading toward's KP Oli's fate but in even worst possible way.

I had predicted long back that US eyeing Pakistan's mineral reserve that's why Trump claimed credit for ceasefire to Asim Munir's face.

That came true when Pakistan signed $500 Mn deal.

Munir doesn't know he has signed warrant of his ouster.

How?

Munir's Pakistan is sitting on time bomb made of:

1. Mobilised political base around Imran Khan,
2. Freedom Movement in peripheries (Balochistan, KPK) fueled by Pakistani Army's actions,
...

...3. Anger of Pakistanis from inflation, flood, surveillance
4. Balancing act between US-China over minerals and security.
5. Corruption and royal life style of Pakistani Generals and ministers.

Taken together at scale of Pakistani population can cause much worse situation than Nepal.

Imran Khan’s 2022 ouster still defines the landscape. Removed via no-confidence, he didn’t vanish, he radicalised his base.

He was removed by US and powerful military setup when he started to make his own decisions and aligning with Russia.

Time and again there have been news of Imran Khan getting assaulted in jail have radicalised his support base.

He has become open critique of Asim Munir than his political rival.

Mass rallies, arrests, and violent clashes kept PTI supporters in the headlines through 2024–25.

His followers are organised, digitally ....

.... savvy, and waiting for an opportunity.

Every police crackdown risks re-igniting nationwide protests. Like Oli in Nepal, who underestimated the power of youth-led mobilisation, Munir faces a base that refuses to back down.

The difference? Pakistan’s base is much larger, angrier, and more experienced in sustained agitation.

There is another big fuel to mass fire.

Wasn't it strange that so many intimate videos were leaked online in Pakistan?

Amnesty reports show Pakistan expanding surveillance: mass phone tapping, internet restrictions, spyware-level monitoring to clamp down dissent of mass after Imran Khan was removed.

Citizens whisper about being watched even in private chats...

...But here’s the paradox: fear breeds anger, not silence.

Nepal’s youth revolted when Oli tried clamping down on social media they saw it as elite control over their voice.

Pakistan’s young, wired population is even less forgiving.

Every snooping scandal chips away at trust. Munir’s challenge is not just protesters in the streets , it’s millions online, refusing to be gagged.

Imran Khan is going to cash in on this report and make people aware of what Pakistani establishment is upto.

If you are wondering why a financially struggling state is investing so much in surveillance, you must...

... understand the long term plan to control mass as per the need of military establishments.

But things are not as much in control as Pakistan wanted.

Zoom out to the peripheries.

Pakistan's lust and greed of resources has put Balochistan and KPK on fire.

Balochistan burns with insurgency and freedom movements, as fighters hit Pakistani convoys and Chinese engineers.

US in desperation declared BLA as terrorist organization. It has further detoriated the situation.

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa is also showing strong signs of dissent towards military actions of Pakistan.

It remains a sanctuary for Taliban-linked networks are more culturally connected KPK than Pakistan.

The state’s answer? Crackdowns, checkpoints, and surveillance.

But every raid deepens...

....resentment. Locals see soldiers not as protectors but occupiers. Add foreign workers and mega-projects, and the anger compounds.

This isn’t just “law and order.” It’s a slow erosion of legitimacy. Oli’s fall was sudden. Pakistan’s unrest is different: long-simmering, structural, and waiting for one big shock to tip it over.

Now layer in the resource race. Pakistan’s vast reserves of rare earths have suddenly made it a darling for Washington.

New MoUs and investments promise dollars but also dilemmas. China, Pakistan’s old patron, has already sunk billions into CPEC and won’t tolerate second place.

The minerals sit in volatile provinces, where locals feel excluded from the spoils.

It’s a geopolitical tug-of-war played ...

...on Pakistani soil.

Munir is walking the same tightrope between Beijing & Washington.

There is split of loyalty between Pakistani Military and Political leadership.

Munir has sidelined with Trump and betting to win big by getting Trump REE extraction rights and WLF crypto deal while political leadership wants to continue relations with CCP.

There have been multiple visits of Munir, Sharif to China recently Zardari made visit to but things don't look stable.

China has one strong tool to pull off strings ie its debt trap. Pakistan is well deep into it.

Here lies the hardest balance: Washington or Beijing? China has poured billions into CPEC and now demands better security for its citizens.

The U.S. arrives fresh, with

...shiny mineral deals and strategic interest. Both want priority. Pakistan can’t satisfy both. Reports suggest the army leans West, while civilian leadership still signals loyalty East.

This split is dangerous.
On one side there is years of investment and help on international stages, on the other side there is lot of sudden money.

Munir is now in the bind with superpowers who treat Pakistan like a chessboard square, not a partner.

Of course, nothing inflames revolt faster than empty kitchens....

Food inflation is hitting Pakistan harder than politics. Wheat, rice, cooking oil daily essentials have doubled for many.

Floods wiped harvests, subsidies shrank, and the rupee staggers.

For the poor, it’s survival, not ideology.

And when they turn on the TV, they see generals’ families holidaying abroad, politicians’ kids in London, and lavish estates expanding. Two worlds in one country.

Nepal’s protests had the same core: inequality and betrayal. Pakistan’s scale is bigger. Hungry crowds don’t negotiate — they erupt.
Could this all snap into an “Oli moment”? In Nepal...

.... it was a social media ban that tipped youth anger into mass protests, collapsing Oli’s rule overnight.

Pakistan would need a similar flashpoint: a food riot after subsidy cuts, a deadly crackdown on PTI, or a high-profile attack on foreign workers that enrages both locals and patrons. But unlike Nepal, Pakistan’s military is stronger, more entrenched.

Collapse here won’t be neat or sudden. It’s more likely to be messy, drawn-out — a grinding contest between street, insurgents, and elite power.

So What's next?

Watch five signals:
1. US China fight over regions and resources
2. Insurgent strikes on Chinese and US projects,
3. Mass PTI protests,
4. Social media blackouts,
5. and fractures among generals and political leadership.

Each one is a potential trigger.

Globally, the U.S. will guard mineral access and sea lanes, China will demand CPEC protection, Iran & Russia will look for openings.

And India will hedge its bets and make its move to ensure it has peaceful border and broken adversary.

Everyone wants something, nobody fully trusts or needs Islamabad's stabilty.

It was going pretty well with China but sudden lust of power and greed for money has brough Pakistan to major upheaval.

It is not just going to end the militarry suppression but also going to limit Pakistan to Punjab and Sindh.

That's why Op Sindoor 2.0 is not ballestic, kinetic war but an automatic sequence of events.