Share this page!

Enter URL or ID to Unroll

You can paste full URL like: https://x.com/threadreaderapp/status/1644127596119195649
or just the ID like: 1644127596119195649

How to get URL link on X (Twitter) App

  1. On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
  2. Click again on or Share Via icon
  3. Click on Copy Link to Tweet
  4. Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
  5. More info at Twitter Help
View Regular
Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA Profile picture
Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA
@michael_hoerger
Expert in weighing medical evidence, cancer, COVID forecasting & mitigation, health disparities, financial analytics. 120 publications. PhD program director.

Sep 23, 8 tweets

PMC COVlD Dashboard, Sep 22, 2025 (U.S.)

The CDC reports 29 states & DC are experiencing High or Very High transmission.

The heat map is a patchwork quilt with COVlD levels varying considerably state by state.

Transmission is shifting north + east.
🧵1/8

PMC COVlD Dashboard, Sep 22, 2025 (U.S.)

COVlD levels by state, AL to MS.

Note that even levels the CDC calls "Low" like Guam at 1.5% actively infectious are at the threshold where I would tell people who have lapsed that it's time to #MaskUp.

🧵2/8

PMC COVlD Dashboard, Sep 22, 2025 (U.S.)

COVlD levels by state, Missouri to Wyoming.

New York is a good example of where the CDC label of "Moderate" simply does not cut it. 1 in 49 is very high, and the data quality statewide has been poor.

🧵3/8

PMC COVlD Dashboard, Sep 22, 2025 (U.S.)

PMC presently estimates transmission peaked on Sep 6 at 1.24 million new daily infections.

Our forecasts were in the range of 1.0-1.3 mil with a peak timed to Sep 6-13, based on rocky & lagged real-time data. Hope it helped you.

🧵4/8

PMC COVlD Dashboard, Sep 22, 2025 (U.S.)

New weekly infections are estimated at 6.5 million nationwide, leading to thousands of new long-term sequelae, and an eventual ≈3,000 excess deaths.

Only about 1 in 44 infections are being reported.

🧵5/8

PMC COVlD Dashboard, Sep 22, 2025 (U.S.)

Current SARS-CoV-2 transmission (red line) is eerily tracking that of 2 years ago (yellow).

The good news is the sudden apparent decline from peak transmission. To see the bad news track the yellow line's autumn "lull."

🧵6/8

PMC COVlD Dashboard, Sep 22, 2025 (U.S.)

Our central forecast has national transmission declining steadily the next several weeks, but there is considerable statewide variation.

Historically, 60% of SARS-CoV-2 transmission occurs on the back end of waves.

🧵7/8

PMC COVlD Dashboard, Sep 22, 2025 (U.S.)

Protect yourself. You have value. The long-term benefits of reducing cumulative reinfections are tremendous.

The vast majority of PMC dashboard users protect themselves with multilayered mitigation.

🧵8/8

Share this Scrolly Tale with your friends.

A Scrolly Tale is a new way to read Twitter threads with a more visually immersive experience.
Discover more beautiful Scrolly Tales like this.

Keep scrolling