PMC COVID Update, Week of Nov 10, 2025 (U.S.)
1/6🧵
🔹301,000 new daily infections based on wastewater-derived models
🔹1 in 162 people (0.6%) actively infectious
🔹Levels the past 2 months corrected upward by Biobot
🔹"Lull point" estimated between Nov 5-21. Rising soon.
PMC COVID Update, Week of Nov 10, 2025 (U.S.)
2/6🧵
The central estimate of the forecast suggests we will surpass 500,000 new daily infections on Nov 22.
There's a 25% chance of a prolonged lull like last year. More likely, we are in wave territory by the end of the month.
PMC COVID Update, Week of Nov 10, 2025 (U.S.)
3/6🧵
We are presently in a lull between the 11th and 12th wave. Now is the time to get boosted and stock up on N95 masks, tests, and air purifier filters.
Do a DIY fit test if you've been putting it off.
PMC COVID Update, Week of Nov 10, 2025 (U.S.)
4/6🧵
Can you believe that in a "lull" in transmission in 2025, wastewater-based case estimates suggest we're still getting nearly 2 million SARS-CoV-2 infections/week?
People are still getting #LongCOVID & still dying.
PMC COVID Update, Week of Nov 10, 2025 (U.S.)
5/6🧵
Even during a "lull," the risk of exposure to SARS-CoV-2 remains high in large gatherings.
🏫School day? 1 in 7 chance of an exposure.
🎉Large political celebration? Coin toss or worse. Test to reduce forward transmission.
PMC COVID Update, Week of Nov 10, 2025 (U.S.)
6/6🧵
The most recent data from the CDC are now nearly 2 months old.
We can provide national estimates from Biobot-based data. For state-level data from non-CDC sources check out pmc19.com/states
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