🧵⭕️Why the US & Israel are not striking IranYET: Many people keep asking when/if the US and Israel will strike Iran given the massive confusion in the media. The short answer is that because neither side is ready, and half-measures would fail. Let's dive into it 👇
Toppling a regime like Iran’s will not be accomplished with one night of airstrikes from the US. It requires sustained pressure, air superiority, broad missile defense, and logistics. These things take time to prepare for and put into place.
Israel learned the hard way during the 12-Day War that defending against large-scale ballistic missile attacks is extremely difficult, even with the world's best air defenses. 34 Israelis were killed and billions of dollars in property damage is nothing to scoff at.
In June, Iran only managed to launch around 1000 missiles. This time, it will be much worse. The regime will think its survival is at stake (which it is), and will launch everything in its arsenal, while also activating regional proxies like Hezbollah and the Houthis.
Israel can't do this alone and US strikes will affect Israel no matter what. A decisive campaign requires US Carrier Strike Groups (CSG) in theater not just to conduct airstrikes, but to help with missile defense. CSG's allow Israel and the US to fight continuously.
Whats the bottom line? The goal with this campaign will not be to “send a message.” The goal will be to breakthe regime decisively - that takes preparation and timing. When the US and Israel strike, and they will strike, they want one outcome: an end to the Islamic Republic.
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