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Raylan Givens Profile picture
@JewishWarrior13
Jan 15 • 6 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
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🧵⭕️Why the US & Israel are not striking IranYET: Many people keep asking when/if the US and Israel will strike Iran given the massive confusion in the media. The short answer is that because neither side is ready, and half-measures would fail. Let's dive into it 👇
Toppling a regime like Iran’s will not be accomplished with one night of airstrikes from the US. It requires sustained pressure, air superiority, broad missile defense, and logistics. These things take time to prepare for and put into place.
Israel learned the hard way during the 12-Day War that defending against large-scale ballistic missile attacks is extremely difficult, even with the world's best air defenses. 34 Israelis were killed and billions of dollars in property damage is nothing to scoff at.
In June, Iran only managed to launch around 1000 missiles. This time, it will be much worse. The regime will think its survival is at stake (which it is), and will launch everything in its arsenal, while also activating regional proxies like Hezbollah and the Houthis.
Israel can't do this alone and US strikes will affect Israel no matter what. A decisive campaign requires US Carrier Strike Groups (CSG) in theater not just to conduct airstrikes, but to help with missile defense. CSG's allow Israel and the US to fight continuously.
Whats the bottom line? The goal with this campaign will not be to “send a message.” The goal will be to breakthe regime decisively - that takes preparation and timing. When the US and Israel strike, and they will strike, they want one outcome: an end to the Islamic Republic.

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More from @JewishWarrior13

Raylan Givens Profile picture
Jun 17
⭕️🧵WHAT'S NEXT FOR THE US AND ISRAEL? A new axis of evil has just formed before our eyes: Iran, Qatar, Pakistan, and Turkey. Shockingly, Trump now fully supports them and considers them allies. Israel's security concerns are no longer a priority for Trump; he cares little for Israel. Let’s examine the fronts Israel is fighting on, along with my predictions for each:
📌 Iran: Israel will return to covert warfare, fighting the regime from within and continuing to damage its terror infrastructure, eliminating key IRGC figures, and seeking to destabilize the leadership. The Mossad will assume a leading role, operating beyond the use of IDF jets.
📌 Lebanon: Israel will accelerate the destruction of all terrorist infrastructure and villages along the Israeli border to prevent Hezbollah from reestablishing positions and launching another 10/7-style attack. Trump will force Israel to withdraw in order to preserve his surrender deal with Iran. Israel, however, will strike in Lebanon on its own terms after any withdrawal.
Read 9 tweets
Raylan Givens Profile picture
Jun 17
⭕️ 🧵Many good people correctly point out that we defeated Iran militarily. I agree, but what was the point? All we did was kick the can down the road—while not only giving Iran a huge amount of money, but also handing them the most powerful weapon they could have dreamed of: control over the Strait of Hormuz. A thread. 👇
📌 Before the war started, the Strait of Hormuz was open. Iran was economically broken—the sanctions were crippling the regime from within. Protests were increasing and threatened the regime’s survival. Their nuclear program had been set back at least 5–7 years. Both the US and Israel were closely monitoring enriched uranium 24/7 after it was bombed, and any attempt by Iran to recover it (which is complicated, even for Iran) would have been met with a strike.
📌 During the war, the Strait of Hormuz was closed. About 85% of Iran’s military defense complex and supporting industries were destroyed. Most of their ballistic missiles—about 70%—were eliminated, and the majority of their military was wiped out. The nuclear program remained unchanged from before the war. The blockade was demolishing what was left of their economy. The proxies were on their knees. All that was needed was some patience.
Read 4 tweets
Raylan Givens Profile picture
Jun 12
⭕🧵 Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqhchi is giving an interview on Iranian television about the emerging deal with the US, here is what he said:
📌 The best time to end a war is when we have the upper hand. We are indeed winning on the battlefield. We have stood for 40 days against what is considered the world's superpower. An agreement and an end to the war will anchor this victory.
📌 The final agreement has not yet been reached. If it is completed, I promise to explain every clause in it. The agreement includes two phases, and we have moved the nuclear issue to the second phase.
Read 11 tweets
Raylan Givens Profile picture
Jun 8
⭕️🧵Full details from last night's marathon of talks and consultations between Bibi and Trump and senior US leadership: In Israel, there was a desire to carry out a more "significant" attack in terms of the targets to be hit. Among other things, last night there was a discussion with the US leadership about the possibility of attacking energy facilities—the US message was unequivocal: NO
📌 As is known, PM Netanyahu spoke last night with President Trump, but not only him; there was a marathon of talks held last night by PM Netanyahu, including with Secretary of State Rubio and Secretary of War Hegeseth, where they went into the details and targets to be attacked.
📌 Senior Israelis briefed on the Netanyahu-Trump conversation say President Trump told the PM: attack and move on.
Read 6 tweets
Raylan Givens Profile picture
Apr 5
🧵REVEALED - THE IDF'S PLAN FOR LEBANON: Earlier today, IDF Radio revealed the detailed plan that the IDF has come up with for a new security zone in Southern Lebanon. This will likely shape the region for the coming years so let's dive in.
The core of this plan is the COMPLETE destruction of the first line of villages along the Lebanon-Israel border and the creation of a *depopulated* “security zone” where Lebanese residents would not be allowed to return.
The IDF says that Hezbollah has spent the past year trying to rebuild terror infrastructure near the border and the entire belt roughly 3–4 km from the border must become a cleared security area with a new forward line of Israeli positions.
Read 13 tweets
Raylan Givens Profile picture
Mar 19
⭕️🧵Senior IDF Air Force official: During 18 days of fighting, air activity was carried out equivalent in scope to a "whole year of operational activity." A Thread.
📌 Air Force pilots conducted more than 8,500 strikes across Iran in less than three weeks, using over 12,000 bombs. About 3,600 munitions were dropped in Tehran alone.
📌 In the "Rising Lion" operation in June, the IDF focused its efforts on three areas in Iran, while in the "Roar of the Lion" operation, the IDF operated throughout Iran. One-fifth of the air strikes change their targets while the aircraft are in the air.
Read 5 tweets

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