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Raylan Givens Profile picture
@JewishWarrior13
Jan 15 • 6 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
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🧵⭕️Why the US & Israel are not striking IranYET: Many people keep asking when/if the US and Israel will strike Iran given the massive confusion in the media. The short answer is that because neither side is ready, and half-measures would fail. Let's dive into it 👇
Toppling a regime like Iran’s will not be accomplished with one night of airstrikes from the US. It requires sustained pressure, air superiority, broad missile defense, and logistics. These things take time to prepare for and put into place.
Israel learned the hard way during the 12-Day War that defending against large-scale ballistic missile attacks is extremely difficult, even with the world's best air defenses. 34 Israelis were killed and billions of dollars in property damage is nothing to scoff at.
In June, Iran only managed to launch around 1000 missiles. This time, it will be much worse. The regime will think its survival is at stake (which it is), and will launch everything in its arsenal, while also activating regional proxies like Hezbollah and the Houthis.
Israel can't do this alone and US strikes will affect Israel no matter what. A decisive campaign requires US Carrier Strike Groups (CSG) in theater not just to conduct airstrikes, but to help with missile defense. CSG's allow Israel and the US to fight continuously.
Whats the bottom line? The goal with this campaign will not be to “send a message.” The goal will be to breakthe regime decisively - that takes preparation and timing. When the US and Israel strike, and they will strike, they want one outcome: an end to the Islamic Republic.

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More from @JewishWarrior13

Raylan Givens Profile picture
Jan 25
🚨🧵From Israel Hayom: Israeli frustration with Witkoff: Pushing for a non-military solution to Iran—despite the evidence
A senior Israeli official confirms that Witkoff is the mediator with Iran: "Witkoff brought Trump a WhatsApp message from Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi and added a written promise from President Massoud Pazakhsian in order to convince him to postpone the attack."
This may not be the only reason for the postponement, as preparations for a serious operation were incomplete two weeks ago, but it also affected the president's mood. "Even now, when intelligence information and testimonies from Iranians are reaching Israel and intelligence agencies in other countries in the region, as well as the United States itself, even now, Witkoff is trying to convince them to follow the diplomatic path to solving the Iran problem," the senior Israeli official says with apparent frustration.
Read 10 tweets
Raylan Givens Profile picture
Jan 25
🧵An Iran expert is warning that Tehran’s response to US or Israeli strikes may go far beyond missiles and UAVs and could include ground invasion plans and activation of sleeper terror cells, potentially inside Israel and the United States. Join me as we break it down 👇
The warning comes from Dr. Yossi Mansharof of the Misgav Institute, who has closely tracked Iranian regime messaging for years. His assessment was published in a position paper obtained by Israel Hayom.
According to Mansharof, Iranian-affiliated media and regime-linked figures are openly discussing retaliation options including missile barrages, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and increasingly, a ground invasion of Israel.
Read 14 tweets
Raylan Givens Profile picture
Jan 25
🚨 🧵An Iranian activist associated with the opposition with testimony depicting the situation in Iran, as of yesterday, based on conversations with family members and acquaintances living in Iran:
Many are attacked at night in their homes. For example, two nights ago in the Funk area (Chahardavari—Tehran), gunshots were heard. The forces searched for wounded who fled and hid in friends' homes. If a chase occurs, they shoot directly at unprotected civilians. Last night, also in Shiraz (Vasal area), during a night raid on the home of one of the protesters, he was thrown out of the window and killed on the spot.
In southern Iran, the situation is even worse: some have fled to the sea and are hiding on fishing boats, while drones and boats of the Revolutionary Guards are searching for them nonstop. In the cities of the Kurdistan, Mazandaran, Golestan, and West Azerbaijan provinces, people have been forced to live temporarily in the mountains.
Read 4 tweets
Raylan Givens Profile picture
Jan 21
🚨 🧵 An Iranian opposition activist reports based on his sources about the general situation in Iran as of last night: A new wave of protests has begun in Marvdasht (Fars Province) and Kuhdasht (Lorestan Province), led by the families of the protesters who were killed.
📌 Throughout Iran, a situation resembling martial law prevails; Iranian security forces (Revolutionary Guards, Basij, and suppression forces) alongside non-Iranian forces (the Afghan Fatemiyoun Brigade and the Iraqi Al-Hashd Al-Shaabi) roam the streets, demonstrating power and instilling fear.
📌 Trade strikes continue in most cities. In some areas, the regime manages to temporarily break them under threats (business closures, bank account freezes, revocation of business licenses). The situation is volatile.
Read 5 tweets
Raylan Givens Profile picture
Dec 25, 2025
🚨🧵Newly released transcripts reveal interesting private conversations between Russian President Vladimir Putin and US President George Bush on Iran’s nuclear program from 2001–2008. Let's dive in to what they said
At their first meeting in 2001, Putin surprised Bush when he said: “There’s no doubt Iran wants nuclear weapons.”
He said Russian experts were alarmed by Iranian scientists asking sensitive, weapons-related questions, even though Russia maintained cooperation with Tehran.
Bush warned that an Iranian bomb would destabilize the entire region — and threaten Russia as well.
Putin agreed, but stressed Moscow’s “complex history” with Iran and admitted that financial interests and contractors were hard to fully control inside Russia.
Read 9 tweets
Raylan Givens Profile picture
Dec 17, 2025
⭕️🧵From the Washington Post: This is how Israel destroyed the Iranian nuclear program. A Washington Post investigation reveals that during Operation “With the Wolf,” Israel systematically targeted the scientists leading the Iranian nuclear program, alongside attacks on facilities and infrastructure.
📌 In Israel, it was assessed that striking the facilities alone would not be enough to cause long-term paralysis of the program, so it was decided to also act against senior engineers and physicists involved in developing nuclear capabilities. For this purpose, a broad list of nuclear scientists was compiled and later narrowed to a small number of key scientists, each of whom had a detailed intelligence profile built over the years.
📌 At the outbreak of the war, 11 nuclear scientists were eliminated in the opening strike and in the days that followed. Simultaneously, a network of more than 100 local agents was activated inside Iran, some of whom took part in attacks against military bases after undergoing training outside Iran and began ground operations even before the air force entered Iranian airspace.
Read 4 tweets

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