Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
President, Kyiv School of Economics; Minister of economy, Ukraine, 2019-2020; Associate professor, University of Pittsburgh

Feb 17, 7 tweets

Hodges: Nobody believes that if Russia gets that last bit of Donbas they will be satisfied and stop.

I’ve listened to Putin, Medvedev. They haven’t backed down on anything. Why should anybody think that’s all they wanted? 1/

Hodges: I can’t imagine Putin admitting his war was a huge mistake. Maybe people say, “You are destroying us.” Or maybe he doesn’t know what’s going on.

For years we were told the ex-KGB officer is smart, playing three-dimensional chess. If he doesn’t know, that’s his fault. 2/

Hodges: Casualties don’t matter to Putin. What matters is whether he can stay in power and whether the economy can generate enough money to keep the war going.

That’s why destroying Russia’s oil and gas infrastructure is a good strategy. 3/

Hodges: Putin is confident the US will do nothing to stop him and that Europe will not fill the gap.

He will keep going until he is forced to realize that Europe and Canada are with Ukraine and will give it what it needs to defeat Russia. 4/

Hodges: The best way to protect Europe is to make sure Ukraine wins.

Not one German, British or Polish soldier would have to die if Ukraine gets everything it needs. If Ukraine fails, Russia could be ready within a year or two to attack Latvia or Lithuania. 5X

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