Applebaum: Ukrainian drone technology now lets Kyiv control the frontline almost completely.
Ukrainians can see everything, making it very hard for Russians to move, and, by Ukrainian counts, kill more Russians each month than Russia can recruit. 1/
Applebaum: Ukraine’s long-range drones are now repeatedly hitting major Russian targets far beyond the border.
Refineries, pumping stations, and other oil-and-gas infrastructure, producing huge black smoke and knocking big facilities out for long periods. 2/
Applebaum: Putin and the regime have become paranoid about Ukraine’s ability to hit Moscow and maybe even target leaders.
That is why the internet keeps going down in Moscow and other cities and why, around the May 9 parade, it is almost completely shut. 3/
Applebaum: Ukraine suddenly has cards.
It has drone technology Gulf states want, EU funding now guaranteed well into the future, and it no longer looks like a pitiful victim people help because they feel sorry for it. It looks like a player in world politics. 4/
Applebaum: We do not know who would replace Putin if he disappeared overnight, died, fell out a window, or was whisked away.
We also do not know how that person would be chosen. Whatever follows his exit is likely to bring instability inside Russia. 5X
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