David Turver Profile picture
Believer in freedom and democracy. Opposes authoritarianism. Investor in real assets. Man Utd fan. F1 fan. Author of Eigen Values substack.

May 17, 11 tweets

UK energy policy is economic self-harm. Labour banning new North Sea drilling licences + fracking — right as the Strait of Hormuz crisis hits. Yet oil & gas extraction is one of our MOST productive industries. A thread (1/10)

UK per capita energy consumption has fallen 2.4% per year — faster than most G7 countries. Result? GDP per capita growth is a miserable 0.4% annually. Energy is the foundation of modern economies. Without abundant supply, we stagnate. (2/10)

Globally, GDP per capita grows ~2% with rising energy use. Asia boomed by embracing energy-intensive growth. Britain chose “energy austerity” instead — and now uses less energy per person than Poland or Malaysia. This is a self-inflicted wound. (3/10)

The “productivity puzzle”? It’s largely an ENERGY problem. ONS data shows oil & gas extraction has productivity at 637% of the UK economy average. It creates SIX TIMES more value per hour worked than the rest of the economy. Yet we’re deliberately shrinking it. (4/10)

High-energy, high-productivity sectors are contracting:
• Mining/quarrying (oil & gas) GVA down 7%
• Refining productivity 384% of average
• Chemicals & pharma ~300% of average
Low-productivity service sectors grow instead. No wonder productivity is stuck. (5/10)

The human cost is huge: ~1,000 jobs lost per month in the North Sea. Hours worked in mining/quarrying down 9%. Refining down 14%. Grangemouth refinery closure (400 jobs) means we now import fuel and petrochemicals — even as global shortages bite. (6/10)

For a government that claims to be “pro-growth”, banning domestic production of our most productive industry is madness. It kills high-value jobs, scares off investment, and makes us more dependent on volatile imports. (7/10)

Restarting exploration and development would:

☑️Create well-paid, high-productivity jobs
☑️Boost GDP growth
☑️Improve energy security
☑️Reverse the productivity crisis.

Energy abundance drives prosperity. Scarcity kills it. (8/10)

More domestic oil & gas is the way to solve our dual productivity and investment problems. In other words — Drill Baby Drill. (9/10)

If you enjoyed this thread please like and share. You can sign up for free to read the full article on the link below (10/10)
davidturver.substack.com/p/drill-baby-d…

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