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Independent military history author and researcher. Coffee tips are appreciated! https://t.co/t1EjNrIZ2c Now also at https://t.co/4qGQ2ffHJJ

Jun 15, 12 tweets

1/ Iran has reportedly assessed that Donald Trump is "mentally incompetent" and has incorporated psychologists into its negotiating team to adapt the wording of the proposed agreement "as if the recipient were a [mental] patient ... whose capacity is limited." ⬇️

2/ The Russian 'Political Report' says that "Iranian authorities have included leading psychologists in the negotiating team to review drafts of all messages before sending them to Trump."

3/ "This is not a supplementary measure, but a direct consequence of an internal assessment that the American president is mentally incompetent, whose reactions cannot be predicted by conventional diplomatic methods.

4/ "Psychologists have compiled a detailed profile of his thinking, and now the wording is being adapted as if the recipient were a patient whose perception is distorted and subject to sudden shifts.

5/ "Mediators from Qatar, Pakistan, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia are recording the same problem: Trump agrees to positions and then immediately reverses them, leaving no stable basis for continuation."

6/ The news outlet comments that "Iran cannot afford the additional layer of uncertainty generated by the unpredictable moves of the American president, who is approaching his 80th birthday."

7/ "Psychological assessment is becoming a tool to reduce the risk that a proposed proposal will be perceived through the prism of a momentary impulse or distorted perception.

The integration of psychologists upends the traditional logic of negotiations between countries.

8/ "Instead of relying on institutional procedures and predictable responses, one side now structures its entire preparation around the individual cognitive profile of the other.

9/ "This is not a rhetorical device or an exaggeration: Iranian sources explicitly assume they are dealing with a person whose capacity is limited and adjust their language accordingly...

10/ "This approach reflects the challenges that a personalised leadership style imposes on highly complex relationships...

11/ "As a result, negotiations become a process of constant adjustment to the perceptions of one party rather than a search for a sustainable balance of interests.

12/ "This creates a perpetual precondition for protracted cycles of tension, where any temporary lull remains hostage to Trump's individual idiosyncrasies rather than institutional guarantees." /end

Source:
t.me/polit_doklad/5…
(Cartoon by bsky.app/profile/mackin…)

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