Vinay Profile picture
Oct 13, 2018 10 tweets 3 min read
Activists just don't get it.

The shit has *completely* hit the fan, politically speaking. Just wreckage.

Technology is eating away at the fabric of society at an unbelievable rate. Future shock is here.

And you think *politicians* are going to fix this? Or consumer choice? Ya
We have no governance structures which can cope with rapid technological change.

Our problems come from rapid technological change. And colonialism.

Pretty much the entire spectrum of political philosophies are worthless trash today. They're about industrial age struggles.
People who understand the problem are going to have to fix the problem. You don't send elected representatives to design nuclear power stations. It's done by experts.

Climate change, if given to experts, will get managed. Put climate people in charge of making the laws? It stops
How long for democracy to elect climate scientists to positions of real power? How long before a climate scientist is the President of the United States?

Not before it's too late to do anything to steer. We will be well into a global drought and famine by the time that happens.
So I urge you to think about this: what governance structures might have the foresight and power to keep us alive? Who exemplifies those values?

I'll tell you who: @elonmusk. You tell me how to put that guy in charge of more of the human survival planning. Give me *that* plan.
Your politics are trash. You're fighting for causes which are *irrelevant*. You could get everything you wanted, and still die of famine in a world bare of food resources as deserts eat the farmland.

You'd do better watching NFL games than left/right politics. It's just noise.
I urge you to drop all your values that are not directly aligned with avoiding human extinction. I commend to you this course of action: form new political movements which directly and responsibly deal with extinction risk. Think beyond Marx and Hayek: they're irrelevant. Wake up
In blockchain I see the seeds of a global resource management system orders of magnitude more effective than invisible hand consumer capitalism.

Finally something to price externalities. Something to track polluters. Something to enable international cooperation.

My agenda.
If you'd like to understand more about this perspective, and where technology (specifically the blockchain) fits in, watch the goal is a world where we can see who's causing the damage, and send them the bill.

Bind impact to money. Tax people for damages!

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More from @leashless

Feb 15
@doctorow @VladZamfir @mattereum @avalancheavax My take is that democracy died when the nuclear bomb was invented: everything after that is fundamentally the National Security Apparatus wearing the skin of democracy like the bugs from Men in Black.

There are only 15 nuke-countries. Everything else is basically a vassal state.
@doctorow @VladZamfir @mattereum @avalancheavax This is not to say that there are not better and worse illusions of democracy: I think there's a *very* good chance that the UK would have thrived under Corbyn, and the US under Bernie. But they had strong positions on matters that impacted the defense world, and did not succeed.
@doctorow @VladZamfir @mattereum @avalancheavax This may seem bleak, but I'm watching this from the perspective of an Indian. I'm not in India, my father's family mostly escaped through academia.

50C most summers in India now, in cities without running water. It comes in trucks, in plastic jugs.

See: aljazeera.com/opinions/2018/…
Read 11 tweets
Feb 15
@doctorow @VladZamfir @mattereum @avalancheavax Redistribution but redistribution *globally*. Basic income, but basic income *globally*

We are one species on a planet. These lines between countries were drawn at gun point.

Our societies snake all over the world through our supply chains. Our exhaust covers the entire planet.
@doctorow @VladZamfir @mattereum @avalancheavax Dismantling oligarchy in a country like Sweden makes life better in Sweden, but Sweden is still at 2.5x sustainable CO2 emissions. Sweden still has huge imports from China. tradingeconomics.com/sweden/imports…

Their standard of living is directly dependent on somebody else running autocracy.
@doctorow @VladZamfir @mattereum @avalancheavax What I do not want to see emerge from the next round of progressive push is post-oligarchical societies in rich developed democracies which are 100% depended on huge enslaved populations running the factories which sustain that quality of life.

This is the problem we all share.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 13
A very quick thread on: Meditations on Moloch.

I think I've finally figured out what's wrong with this model. It's a story about *entropy* in effect.

(apparently I'm having one of those weekends where my unconscious mind just *unloads* the good stuff)

slatestarcodex.com/2014/07/30/med…
Ginsberg is the inspiration for the original Moloch piece, his poem Moloch.

Ginsberg also provides the solution, but by stating the problem clearly.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ginsberg%…

Moloch is about ratchets. One person does something fucked up to win and all future winners do it too.
Moloch is simply the dark god of zero sum games, in particular iterated zero sum games.

The system as-envisaged lacks the "metaprogramming" ability to change its own rules: to ban cutting off your hand to win a race by throwing it over the finish line!

carnegiecouncil.org/publications/1…
Read 16 tweets
Feb 13
I want to talk a little about time scales. Here's what I want to know: in what year do you believe the last human will die of hunger?

How long before we can eradicate starvation?
Now, as is traditional, a brief thread. Why does the timescale matter?

Here's why: you are not going to see the Promised Land. It's not coming. What's coming is centuries of *history* IF WE ARE LUCKY.

History is filled with gross, gory things.

You see all those combat robots?
They're gonna get used. In fact they're already getting used: drone war is robot war. And you can bet there are classified ground combat robots already. There must be; the tech just needs money, and DARPA ain't poor.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drone_str…

So that's history mid-manifestation.
Read 14 tweets
Feb 2
My thread on why young people are embracing NFTs/blockchain hit 600 retweets.

The analysis resonated for people deeply. A lot seem to have found it very moving, speaking to the struggle of their lives.

Now I want to talk about the other side: NFT hatred.
The first thing is that people are having three different emotions about NFTs: a sense of betrayal, of fear, and of envy.

These three emotions are then channeled through the particularly disgusting positioning tactics which modern internet discourse has sunk to. It's awful stuff
But there are legitimate reasons for people to feel betrayed, afraid and envious. These folks aren't having these emotional reactions *for no reason*. There are legitimate problems, reasons for the complaints.

The problem is they're confusing freedom fighters for prison guards.
Read 39 tweets
Jan 26
The younger generation *suck* at explaining the blockchain. No wonder there's so much FUD in the space right now - I'm looking at you @smdiehl

Let me explain what's going on, but this time we're going to leave the really important parts of the picture *in* the frame. A thread:
You've got to start in 2008 with the global financial collapse. Since then, interest rates have hovered around zero as government pumped cash into the global economy to keep it running.

For a long time, no inflation. The extreme medicine was working. Then covid, and 5% inflation
During that period with no inflation, and tons of money printing, there was very little economic *growth*. If there had been, inflation would have started then - the economy picks right up, credit risk goes down because lending is less risky, and prices start to rise on the cash.
Read 27 tweets

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