Vinay Profile picture
Feb 15 11 tweets 12 min read
@doctorow @VladZamfir @mattereum @avalancheavax My take is that democracy died when the nuclear bomb was invented: everything after that is fundamentally the National Security Apparatus wearing the skin of democracy like the bugs from Men in Black.

There are only 15 nuke-countries. Everything else is basically a vassal state.
@doctorow @VladZamfir @mattereum @avalancheavax This is not to say that there are not better and worse illusions of democracy: I think there's a *very* good chance that the UK would have thrived under Corbyn, and the US under Bernie. But they had strong positions on matters that impacted the defense world, and did not succeed.
@doctorow @VladZamfir @mattereum @avalancheavax This may seem bleak, but I'm watching this from the perspective of an Indian. I'm not in India, my father's family mostly escaped through academia.

50C most summers in India now, in cities without running water. It comes in trucks, in plastic jugs.

See: aljazeera.com/opinions/2018/…
@doctorow @VladZamfir @mattereum @avalancheavax The BBC has a nice write up of how the poor Indians are surviving the 50C heat, without ever really asking why they are so poor: they are so poor because the Industrial Revolution was run on gold from India and cotton from Egypt. That's the bottom line.

bbc.co.uk/news/av/world-…
@doctorow @VladZamfir @mattereum @avalancheavax Capitalism *is* colonialism. Colonialism *is* imperialism.

Now the hot frontier is western consumer goods being manufactured by slave labour, mostly in China and Africa. Nobody seems to care except when it's politically convenient to beat China up.

And then climate colonialism.
@doctorow @VladZamfir @mattereum @avalancheavax I see the Western Democracies colluding to destroy the world.

Not on climate change - well, yes, on climate change. America, leader of the free world, is roadblocking all climate progress.

But the real issue is the invention and deployment of the nuclear weapons, then MAD.
@doctorow @VladZamfir @mattereum @avalancheavax Where I want us to go is a one person one vote global democracy. I don't see a better way of dealing with climate change, and nothing less is going to rein in the western powers and their astonishing use of slave labour right into the 21st century.

I don't see how else to fix it
@doctorow @VladZamfir @mattereum @avalancheavax So what I'm looking for is a global trade transparency regime. Something that makes it possible for the cleanest 5% of the global economy to rapidly grow and push the rest to become more ethical: bit like vegans scaled vegetarianism. Spreading transparency
medium.com/humanizing-the…
@doctorow @VladZamfir @mattereum @avalancheavax The shape of our databases defines the shape of our societies: vimeo.com/161183966

A single global database which anybody can write to, and nobody can delete from, seems like an ideal vehicle for global transparency in trade to me.

I don't think anything else has the levers
@doctorow @VladZamfir @mattereum @avalancheavax I don't think "blockchainism" really describes what is happening on the blockchain at all.

It describes the activities of a very large number of fraud-prone carpetbaggers who have leapt on the back of the thing and distorted its goals.

The goal has always been to fix the world.

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More from @leashless

Feb 15
@doctorow @VladZamfir @mattereum @avalancheavax Redistribution but redistribution *globally*. Basic income, but basic income *globally*

We are one species on a planet. These lines between countries were drawn at gun point.

Our societies snake all over the world through our supply chains. Our exhaust covers the entire planet.
@doctorow @VladZamfir @mattereum @avalancheavax Dismantling oligarchy in a country like Sweden makes life better in Sweden, but Sweden is still at 2.5x sustainable CO2 emissions. Sweden still has huge imports from China. tradingeconomics.com/sweden/imports…

Their standard of living is directly dependent on somebody else running autocracy.
@doctorow @VladZamfir @mattereum @avalancheavax What I do not want to see emerge from the next round of progressive push is post-oligarchical societies in rich developed democracies which are 100% depended on huge enslaved populations running the factories which sustain that quality of life.

This is the problem we all share.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 13
A very quick thread on: Meditations on Moloch.

I think I've finally figured out what's wrong with this model. It's a story about *entropy* in effect.

(apparently I'm having one of those weekends where my unconscious mind just *unloads* the good stuff)

slatestarcodex.com/2014/07/30/med…
Ginsberg is the inspiration for the original Moloch piece, his poem Moloch.

Ginsberg also provides the solution, but by stating the problem clearly.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ginsberg%…

Moloch is about ratchets. One person does something fucked up to win and all future winners do it too.
Moloch is simply the dark god of zero sum games, in particular iterated zero sum games.

The system as-envisaged lacks the "metaprogramming" ability to change its own rules: to ban cutting off your hand to win a race by throwing it over the finish line!

carnegiecouncil.org/publications/1…
Read 16 tweets
Feb 13
I want to talk a little about time scales. Here's what I want to know: in what year do you believe the last human will die of hunger?

How long before we can eradicate starvation?
Now, as is traditional, a brief thread. Why does the timescale matter?

Here's why: you are not going to see the Promised Land. It's not coming. What's coming is centuries of *history* IF WE ARE LUCKY.

History is filled with gross, gory things.

You see all those combat robots?
They're gonna get used. In fact they're already getting used: drone war is robot war. And you can bet there are classified ground combat robots already. There must be; the tech just needs money, and DARPA ain't poor.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drone_str…

So that's history mid-manifestation.
Read 14 tweets
Feb 2
My thread on why young people are embracing NFTs/blockchain hit 600 retweets.

The analysis resonated for people deeply. A lot seem to have found it very moving, speaking to the struggle of their lives.

Now I want to talk about the other side: NFT hatred.
The first thing is that people are having three different emotions about NFTs: a sense of betrayal, of fear, and of envy.

These three emotions are then channeled through the particularly disgusting positioning tactics which modern internet discourse has sunk to. It's awful stuff
But there are legitimate reasons for people to feel betrayed, afraid and envious. These folks aren't having these emotional reactions *for no reason*. There are legitimate problems, reasons for the complaints.

The problem is they're confusing freedom fighters for prison guards.
Read 39 tweets
Jan 26
The younger generation *suck* at explaining the blockchain. No wonder there's so much FUD in the space right now - I'm looking at you @smdiehl

Let me explain what's going on, but this time we're going to leave the really important parts of the picture *in* the frame. A thread:
You've got to start in 2008 with the global financial collapse. Since then, interest rates have hovered around zero as government pumped cash into the global economy to keep it running.

For a long time, no inflation. The extreme medicine was working. Then covid, and 5% inflation
During that period with no inflation, and tons of money printing, there was very little economic *growth*. If there had been, inflation would have started then - the economy picks right up, credit risk goes down because lending is less risky, and prices start to rise on the cash.
Read 27 tweets
Dec 29, 2021
My soul, if I have one, is that when I was homeless (a few times) I realized that true, real poverty is *us* and not *them*.

And I have not shaken that insight. In fact I've built my life on it.

I keep trying to drive the poverty alleviation machinery at an Elon Musk type scale
resiliencemaps.org is the design language for fixing poverty.

files.howtolivewiki.com/TIDES_PACKET/T… is sort of what that picture looks like bulked out a bit

files.howtolivewiki.com/the_physical_a… gets into the details

shareable.net/the-unplugged/ applies it to poverty in America, and climate change
files.howtolivewiki.com/MOTHER_OF_HYDR… is another scifi story which applies the model to climate refugees.

What does it actually take to keep people happy? How can we do it at minimum ecological cost? What would those lives be like, and would we be happy living them if they were our lives?
Read 8 tweets

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