37 page “Operation Yellowhammer” no deal planning pack for staff leaks. Marked “official sensitive”
Times EXC
Key Yellowhammer slide on no deal consequences
- “Operation is potentially enormous”
- “Impacts ... could grow exponentially as issues impact upon each other and capabilities of responders at all levels decrease or become overwhelmed”
Times EXC
Government creates war-like structure with 24 hour, 3 shift a day “battle rhythm” all reporting to cabinet office / Cobr
- Here for the first time are the details
Times EXC
Government admits it only has facilities to cope with “two concurrent events to be managed”
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One ally of Boris Johnson attacked the “grey wolf” intake from 2019 saying they are “called the grey wolves because they were not socialised in parliament during the pandemic”
This came after 20 2019 MPs met at 1pm to discuss what should happen to the PM
…. Some of these MPs wanted to move against the PM before the Sue Gray report, but several did not. Some want the cover of moving in a group, others determined to act come what may.
Most think confidence vote still after Gray reports (timing: 60% likely to be next week)
Tonight Boris Johnson is seeing at least one 2019 MP who was at lunchtime meeting (whips took names)
Many MPs tell me the whipping operation to support Boris Johnson has been half hearted and “meh”
On Saturday, SAGE recommended in writing a ban on indoor household mixing and closing non essential shops (Step 1/2 below) the sooner the better.
Still no government decision
Commons authorities think Gvt now not planning to recall Parliament until Dec 29 - a week Wednesday
There is clearly massive government pushback against Johnson introducing restrictions from the Cabinet. Rishi Sunak and Steve Barclay amongst those in the resistance.
More critical briefings against Gvt scientists going on.
Step 2 from the roadmap - as per @patrickkmaguire@PippaCrerar - seems to be most likely option - shops open, restaurants serving outdoors only rule of 6
“preliminary modelling suggests that without any changes to measures in place, the number of hospitalisations from Omicron may reach 1,000 per day or higher in England by the end of the year (and still be increasing at that point)."
SAGE: “With the speed of growth seen, decision makers will need to consider response measures urgently to reduce transmission if the aim is to reduce the likelihood of unsustainable pressure on the NHS."
Speaking at a vaccine clinic in North London, Boris Johnson told TV pool:
- need to make “another great surge” on vaccinations and “we will throw everything at it”
- “we’ve no doubt at all the NHS, all the volunteers, the army can rise to that challenge”
Boris Johnson /2
- cancel holidays? Nativities? “we are not changing the guidance on how you should live your life except in a couple of ways” - masks and checks on travellers
Boris Johnson /3
- so why did Jenny Harries talk today about avoiding unnecessary socialising? “It’s always sensible to be careful that’s what Jenny is saying … people should continue to get fresh air and wash hands but we’re not going to change the overall guidance”