Re debates on trade & nat sec: “Such debates are, at root, about trust, a commodity that mattered less when China exported tennis shoes and televisions (…)”
Methods have also changed: before, IPR & trade defense would tackle China, now it's inv. screening (2/4)
They also address what @Ali_Wyne refers to as the US trying to "outChina China": “Rather than China becoming more Western, America is becoming more Chinese.” (3/4)
I have a new paper w/ @MWigell : “The emergence of Strategic Capitalism - Geoeconomics, Corporate Statecraft & the repurposing of the global economy”. We take a fresh look at states & markets to describe this shift @FIIA_fi@LeuvenGGS
States are actively deploying geoeconomic measures. Firms try to preserve businesses by a nuanced set of reactions that both constrain & stimulate geoeconomic policies.
This dynamic is making capitalism more state-led and strategic 2/
Geoeconomics now extends beyond US-China relations; affects more than tech sector & is not circumscribed to nat'l sec claims. An increasing number of assets become "strategic" + origin of mkt actors affect their bizz prospects 3/ @markhleonard@leemakiyama@JPKleinhans@TGehrke_
“In this pandemic, the mask reveals far more than it hides. It exposes the world’s political and economic relations for what they are: vectors of self-interest that ordinarily lie obscured under glib talk of globalisation and openness. ” gu.com/p/dmce4/stw
"Masks are in short supply not because they’re difficult to produce, but because the meltblown industry is used to stable, long-term demand. It churns out just enough for its customers and no more."
"Until now, countries didn’t consider meltblown a strategic commodity, so during the past three decades, much of its production has migrated from the west to (...) Asia. (...) just five or 10 remaining manufacturers in the US (...) China produces close to half of all (...)".
I have a post @Global_Policy. Post-COVID health regulators could learn from "macroprudential" finance policies addressing systemic risks. Should health governance address systemic-risks such as the supply chains of resources like PPE? globalpolicyjournal.com/blog/29/04/202…
Just as the collapse of "too big to fail” banks magnify the impact of vulnerabilities in the fin'l system, are there health challenges which bring to light systemic failures, eg bottlenecks in supply chains of med equipment? Are there diseases "too big to heal"? @RanaForoohar
Many interesting points in this report @MikaAaltola@FIIA_fi on political transformation wrought by COVID19. Among them the fact that "China's status and legitimacy are increasingly in doubt, especially in the West" [1/4]
In many ways, COVID19 is the "reset" button that will redefine the relative positions of many global actors, including China.
Where each will land will ultimately depend on how they fare in tackling the virus fallout--something that is far from clear now [2/4]
A likely consequence of the geopolitical rearrangement following COVID19 is the acceleration in the trend of fragmentation/stagnation of global regimes & an increased shift to "managed interdependence", as countries become more geoeconomic [3/4]
I believe we lack elements to spell out what global politics will look like in the aftermath of COVID. The jury is still out on most elements that will shape the global order going forward, not least China’s role in it. 1/5
Countries will draw lessons from relying on China for a number of goods, eg medical products. As resilience takes precedence over efficiency, decoupling might extend beyond US-China relations. This could intensify trend to curb Chinese FDI 2/5 barrons.com/articles/how-g…
A lot will of course depend on how countries fare against COVID. Some countries that have until recently attempted to accommodate China might revert to pushback if they manage this crisis decently 3/5
As Italy becomes the epicenter of the most dramatic developments re #Covid_19 it's worth watching terms & direction of Italian debate on role of China in managing the disease. Might be an indication of how China will be viewed in aftermath @muyixiao@gideonrachman@RushDoshi