1. The product is the viral. The thing you're building has to be shareable. You can't layer virality true on top of a product that isn't viral.
2. Have a huge interest overlap. What % of people are interested in entomology? Few. Not viral. What % like puppies? Lots. Good. Can be viral. Like horoscopes, funny videos, weird news... All things that lots of people are interested in.
3. Grab attention: novelty (as in the news), sex, violence (as in the news, following the famous adage “If it bleeds, it leads”…), mystery, emotions, strong visuals, stories, and talking about the users themselves.
4. Don't give everything away on the viral itself. If you do, people will just consume it and not click through.
5. Give the payoff immediately after the user goes to your product. Give them what they came for. Don’t bury it under 10 minutes of clicks, email sign-ups, and all the other things that your product has to offer. People don’t care.
6. Reach the viral point right away. Push the viral point as close to the beginning of the user experience as possible. Otherwise you will lose most of them before they spread your product.
7. Give good incentives for both the sender and the receiver.
8. The viral must reflect the identity of the users. What you share determines who you are. It reflects what you stand for.
9. Make it easy to send to as many friends as possible
10. Layer viral channels: newsfeed, notifications, emails... The more, the easier it is to spread
11. Understand how the social platforms work into the detail of the APIs, and then exploit that.
This Sunday are Germany's elections
These are the best maps to understand the country:
Why is it so rich?
What makes it special?
What lies in its future?
1. We can still tell the East/West divide, 35 years after the reunification. These are Germany's phantom borders
2. Before WW2, East Germany had more:
• Working class ppl
• Vote left
• Women working
• Births out of wedlock
• Protestantism
3. The main reason is because this region industrialized early. One of the reasons of that industrialization is because of the Bohemian Mountains and their coal and iron
UNPRECEDENTED
The singularity is near. We're 1-6 years away from AGI according to: 1. Prediction markets 2. Insider insights 3. Benchmarks 4. Lack of barriers to growth 5. Current progress
This breakneck speed of AI progress is illustrated by OpenAI's o3 and DeepSeek🧵
1. Prediction Markets:
Average bet on AGI: November 2030
Mode: June 2027
Two other bets in Metaculus match this:
• Two years to weak AGI, so by the end of 2026
• Three years later, Superintelligence, so by the end of 2029
This remote corner of the US has something unique that might soon make it one of the most important cities in the world—the city of the future. It is officially Boca Chica today, but it might soon become Starbase 🧵
This point at the south of Texas is the southernmost point in the continental US
That is extremely useful for rockets
The biggest share of weight in rockets is fuel. Most of it is burnt just to carry the rest to orbit! Rocket makers do anything they can to reduce fuel consumption
We should transform Guantanamo Bay into a 21st Century Hong Kong 🧵
Hong Kong was a deep water port surrounded by a Communist country—China
By building up the port, urbanizing the surrounding area, making business easy, and taxing little, Hong Kong showed China what capitalism could do by becoming a global port and financial center
Seeing this success, Deng Xiaoping made the neighboring Shenzhen into a special economic zone (SEZ). The area exploded and is not the epicenter of global manufacturing, along with the broader Guangzhou, on the Pearl River delta
2. Los Angeles:
• Trading hub between the world (Pacific) and the US (railways)
• Weather + biggest coastal valley on the Pacific➡️agriculture & cheap building
• Oil
• Landscapes + far from the East Coast centers of power➡️Attracted the film industry