#Goldbees - Here's the last 13 years historical analysis of #Gold price. X axis represents whats the average returns made in the respective months for last 13 years, and Y axis represents total sum of returns for each month, the highest returns from Gold has come from Jan and Aug Image
Data shows that though people tend to buy gold jewels in festive season in the month of Sep/Oct, the price increases much before the festive season starts. 12 out of 13 times Aug month ended up in positive returns with average returns of 4.29%. Image
If you plan to buy #Gold, better invest in #GoldBees at the end of July & exit it in Aug month and book profits, and use that money to buy Jewels when festive season arrives. Attached yearly returns as well. Image

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More from @kirubaakaran

Oct 21
Is your 920 Straddle not working this year? Your trading system which did well in the past is not doing good this year? Your drawdown already crossed historical max drawdown this year? Thinking what really went wrong in the year 2022? Then check this detailed data analysis 🧵
This is the yearly returns of 920 straddle system. Enter at 9.20, ATM, 25% Stop loss on individual leg, exit by 3:20 pm. No targets, No TSL. A simple 920 system as example. This year has given the worst performance in last 6 years. Let's find out what went wrong.
Many assume that market regime changed, its due to high no of frequent gaps many trading systems are suffering, many believe that since more traders are using 920 straddle variation, it stopped working. So the basic complaint every one facing is "920 Straddle stopped working".
Read 26 tweets
Sep 26
Historically it has never happened in the past, so probability of such event happening in the future is very minimal. If you trade based on this approach, it could bring in catastrophic results. Here's a story of a hedge fund manager who lost millions because of such approach 🧵
There is a very famous American Hedge fund manager who made 30% annualised return for 20 years, One lac invested with this trader would have grown to almost 2 Crores in 20 year period. He is the famous legendary trader Victor Niederhoffer who failed to follow his own rules.
One day in all his investors received a mail which states that the fund has lost all the investors money & wiped out completely.
"We took risks. We were successful for a long time. This time we did not succeed, and I regret to say that all of us have suffered very large losses."
Read 21 tweets
Sep 23
When people talk about automated trading system, this is what comes to mind for most of the beginners who wanted to get into it. Many think it’s a plug n play system where you deposit the funds, link your account to the algo and it will trade for you n make money every month. 🧵 Image
No! It doesn’t work like that. Algo trading is not money making machine and it doesn’t remove emotions. Whether its Auto trading or manual trading, emotions will always be there when it comes to trading. We can’t ignore it.
This is the expectation most people have when they start with automated trading system. Where you wanted your capital to appreciate month on month, year on year with such linear returns. Image
Read 9 tweets
Aug 28
I once read this story on Reddit long back and wanted to share that, because I could completely relate this to trading. An Airbus 380 is on its way across the Atlantic. It flies consistently at 800 km/h at 35,000 feet when suddenly Fighter Jets appears. 🧵
The pilot of the fighter jet slows down, flies alongside the Airbus, and greets the pilot of the passenger plane by radio:

"Airbus, boring long flight, isn't it? Now, have a look here!"
He rolls his jet on its back, accelerates, breaks through the sound barrier, rises rapidly to a dizzying height, and then swoops down almost to sea level in a breathtaking dive. He loops back next to the Airbus and asks,

"Well, how was that?"
Read 22 tweets
Jul 29
I have shared multiple information related to trading and investing through my historical data analysis by writing various articles, here's the master thread that contains all my work in one place.🧵
Read 25 tweets
Jul 12
I have closely observed FinNifty for couple of weeks and then started trading live since last 4 expiry. If you are looking to start trading with FinNifty weekly option then this thread might be of great help to you. 🧵
Nifty Financial Services Index includes stocks from Banks, housing finance, NBFCs, Insurance and other financial services. But more than 60% of weightage goes to banking stocks whereas with Bank Nifty 100% of stocks belongs to banking category.
These are the top 10 stocks that decides the direction of FinNifty.
Read 14 tweets

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